Category: Neofeudal Review

  • The Midlife Transition: Confronting Mortality and Rebirth

    Liminality (from Latin limen ‘a threshold’) is the quality of ambiguity or disorientation that occurs in the middle stage of a rite of passage, when participants no longer hold their pre-ritual status but have not yet begun the transition to the status they will hold when the rite is complete. During a rite’s liminal stage, participants “stand at the threshold”between their previous way of structuring their identity, time, or community, and a new way (which completing the rite establishes).

    This is a post about the midlife crisis. I have a number of other posts queue’d up for publication, but this one spoke to me as the right topic to start 2025.

    As a preamble, I’m not an old man yet, but I’m no longer young either. Our society exclusively celebrates youth and wealth, leaving those who are aging or struggling with illness to the margins. As a result, most men face aging without proper guidance, perspective or role models. Instead of embracing memento mori (remember death) which leads to living more fully in the moment, we practice oblivisci mori (forget death) with a focus on making money and the hopes of tomorrow. This fear of mortality, rooted in an almost ubiquitous secular materialism – despite pretensions by some to religion – leads us to avoid confronting the realities of aging and death until it hits us in the form of a now cliche midlife crisis. When this crisis manifests usually around 35-40 years old (the Wiki states 40-64, but I think that’s too broad) it has an especially difficult impact. This crisis occurs as men start their decline from their peak sexual market value which for most men (so long as you’re not balding, obese, or jobless, all of which impact SMV) occurs around this period of time:

    Notice how the decline of male SMV corresponds to the period of midlife crisis

    Approaching middle age introduces an unavoidable reality: the body’s decline. Weight slowly piles on and becomes harder to keep off, one develops wrinkles and higher Norwood levels, perhaps one’s sight declines and you need “reader” glasses for books. Maybe you start developing serious health issues which can come up suddenly. The passage of time takes on a new urgency and people make life-altering decisions: this can result in new wives, fancy cars, mental or emotional breakdowns, career changes.

    Nassim Talib wrote, “The first part of life is spent worrying about what women think of us; the second part about what other men think of us; and the third part about what we think of ourselves”, or to put it another way: the first third of life is spent worrying about women, the second part about money, and the third part about health (mental and physical). During this period the older generations are dying off, perhaps one has growing children, time is speeding up (the older you get the faster time passes) and one begins to understand that their turn “up to deck” to death is approaching. As Schopenhauer wrote, “Just remember, once you’re over the hill you begin to pick up speed” and “A man must have grown old and lived long in order to see how short life is.” While Jung was in touch with his unconscious from a very young age (unlike other luminaries such as Nietzsche1), he still experienced a midlife crisis from age 35-43.

    Jung argues that men spend the first half of their lives living for others — for their parents and for society, to meet their expectations – but in midlife circumstances arise that shake them out of their worldview, forcing a gut-check, an assessment of one’s limitations and looming mortality, and he realizes he has to start living for himself. It is a time when one’s ego and persona – the image one presents to the world – is shaken by losses outside of one’s control (death in the family, health scares, children leaving the nest, divorces) and the unconscious – the neglected, suppressed, discarded parts of ourselves that don’t correspond to society’s expectations and demands – starts to manifest itself in urgent ways. According to a Jungian website,

    Crudely put, the first half of life is the stage in which we receive our education, choose our careers, begin a family, acquire the trappings of success such as a home, a car, and establish our persona(s). Jungians may also refer to this stage as Ego-Self Separation, i.e. we focus on developing a strong ego, and in so doing, slowly lose touch with the rest of the psyche. It is for this reason that when we reach mid-life, things may be going wrong.

    The second half of life is less about acquiring things and knowledge, and more about finding meaning. We are faced with questions such as ‘What is the point of my life?’ or ‘What makes me feel I am useful in this world?’ As we ponder these questions we often realize that life has not turned out the way we expected it to.

    At mid-life we may experience alarm messages from the psyche – often in the form of affective disorders or somatic symptoms – we may become anxious or depressed and begin to suffer many physical ailments. At first, most of us go to our physician and get something for the anxiety or depression, or something for our blood pressure or poor digestion. But, it is seldom enough.

    In other words, mid-life is when the strong ego we developed to get through the first half of life is pierced: we can and will actually die, we are not superheroes with egos that will save us, and we start wrestling with how to react to this information. Sean Lannin wrote in a Note pertaining to this (emphasis added in #1):

    A hospice nurse compiled a list of hundreds of hospice patients regrets who were dying.

    Top 5 Regrets of dying people:

    1. I wish I had the courage to live a life true to myself, not what others expected of me.

    2. I wish I hadn’t worked so hard

    3. I wish I had the courage to express my feelings

    4. I wish I had stayed in touch with friends

    5. I wish I had let myself be happier

    Do you see yourself on that list?

    “The courage to life a life true to myself” is the individuation process, which is not a given: plenty of people suppress who they really are and who they are meant to become because they are too afraid to face it. But there is a price to pay for everything: avoiding self-reflection and staying attached to societal expectations leads to these common deathbed realizations. Contrary to popular belief, one does not usually get wiser or more moral with age – you just get older, as the great pessimist philosopher Emil Cioran wrote in his A Short History of Decay: “One doesn’t become better on the moral plane with old age. Nor wiser. Contrary to what people think. One gains nothing in getting old. But as one is more tired, one gives the impression of wisdom….There is no progress in life. There are small changes.” If you are unwilling to listen to your unconscious, to integrate it in order to become a more whole person, to be who you were intended to be, that is going to manifest in your life in very negative ways, greatly disrupting your life balance.

    Wisdom comes from subsuming one’s ego and listening (but not blindly) to one’s intuition and following it, leading to surprising and creative results. This is why one becomes more introspective with age, as Schopenhauer argues: “In youth it is the outward aspect of things that most engages us; while in age, thought or reflection is the predominating quality of the mind. Hence, youth is the time for poetry, and age is more inclined to philosophy. In practical affairs it is the same: a man shapes his resolutions in youth more by the impression that the outward world makes upon him; whereas, when he is old, it is thought that determines his actions.” And time is short: “… everyone desires to achieve old age, that is to say a condition in which one can say: “Today is bad, and day by day it will get worse – until at last the worst of all arrives.”

    This brings us to the concept of liminality. For this I picked up Jungian psychologist Murray Stein’s book In Midlife (1983)2, which used mythology – specifically focusing on the Olympic deity Hermes, the God of transitions (“Hermes’ presence is sudden gain, a stroke of luck, but the accent is also strongly on the element of fear and the feeling of the uncanny”) – as well as ancient literature such as the Iliad and the Odyssey to demonstrate the trials and tribulations, the challenges and possibilities inherent in this transformative period. Stein defines liminality as follows:

    Liminality is created whenever the ego is unable any longer to identify fully with a former self-image, which it had formed by selective attachments to specific internal images and embodied in certain roles accepted and performed. It had been embedded in a context created and supported by an archetypal pattern of self-organization, and now, since this matrix has dissolved or broken down, there is a sense of an amputated past and a vague future. Yet while this ego hangs there in suspension, still it remembers the ghost of a former self whose home has been furnished with the presence of persons and objects now absent and had been placed in a psychological landscape now bare and uninhabitable without them.

    According to Stein there are three phases of the midlife transition: separation, liminality and re-integration. This process occurs for other things, too, of course, but in the midlife transition it occurs due to increased knowledge of one’s mortality – that time is running out: “The pivotal experience of the psychological change that unfolds at midlife, and the element that most unmistakably declares its uniqueness and brings it to its deepest meaning, is the lucid realization of death as life’s personal, fated conclusion. The chilling awareness of this fact grips a person’s consciousness at midlife as it has not gripped it before, and the sense of an absolute limit to personal extension in time spreads into every corner of consciousness and affects everything it touches.” If the path is followed properly, “clues begin to appear for what will become a person’s sense of core and for the life tasks that remain to be carried out.”


    The First Phase: Separation

    In the first phase, that of separation, there is a feeling of loss which can be hard to pin down:

    As the midlife transition begins, whether it begins gradually or abruptly, persons generally feel gripped by a sense of loss and all of its emotional attendants: moody and nostalgic periods of grieving for some vaguely felt absence, a keen and growing sense of life’s limits, attacks of panic about one’s own death, and exercises in rationalization and denial….From an intrapsychic point of view, what needs to be separated from in the first phase of the midlife transition is an earlier identity, the persona. The ego needs to let go of this attachment before it can float through the necessary period of liminality that is preliminary to a deeper discovery fo the Self. To do this thoroughly and decisively, the person needs to “find the corpse” and then to bury it: to identify the source of pain and then to put the past to rest by grieving, mourning, and burying it. But the nature of the loss needs to be understood and worked through before a person can go on.


    The Second Phase: Liminality

    The second phase, liminality, does not begin until one accepts that one’s earlier identity has died, which can involve a heavy mourning period of grief over the loss of who one used to be. This comes about from loss that one’s ego/persona cannot properly deal with, hence the rising fear of death and loss (especially of loss of control): “When life is no longer seen from a perspective of beginnings through a fantasy of continuous expansion and growth, but rather from the perspective of ends and of death through a fantasy of fate and limitations, midlife has arrived….What will come of all this? What will become of me? These are wrenching questions as the soul comes free of its attachments and identifications”. There is always a danger that such loss is not accepted that one retreats into egoism, using self-repression and denial to suppress the necessary psychological changes. To participate in this process requires one’s full attention and use of one’s skills; cut free from one’s persona, one is adrift, “floating freely, by associate wandering, by apercu, by backtracking and rhetorical repetition, by stealth and thievery. Brainstorms, insights, lucky finds, intuitions, the play of dreams – if these are threaded together and held somewhat loosely in hand, will we not have a style that belongs to Hermes?” This process cannot be half-assed if one is to benefit from it:

    There is one additional feature to this Hermetic method, however, and this must be recognized and consciously incorporated if the method is to be exploited to greatest advantage. This pertains to what is done with the lucky find, the thieved thought, the sudden psychological insight once it is in hand, and to the attitude that informs this action. Hermes is not just a collector, and the Hermetic method, if true to its master practitioner, cannot simply pile up random collections of interesting and loosely related observations. The ‘find’ must be taken up and craftily transformed in a characteristic Hermetic manner….

    Like the methods of the social sciences, the Hermetic method is empirical in that it begins with and constantly adverts to ‘facts,’ but for the collection of data relevant for the discussion of these facts it relies largely on loose associations and synchronistic occurrences (‘finds’), and then it employs craftiness and even what might be called distortions in working over these materials and transforming them to its own ends. The test of this method must be strictly pragmatic – is the interpretation that results from it useful because it succeeds in portraying the quality and the dimensions of midlife liminality and elucidating its meanings? or is it too idiosyncratic and therefore without cash value to anyone but perhaps the user of it?

    So, for example, my separation process from my persona was a drawn-out and very painful process; when I eventually entered my period of liminality, my instincts combined with my intellect, feelings, and senses and eventually compelled me to write a 137,000 word Substack essay on how this world is organized, followed by my current regular Substack writing here. This is a listening process and not an ego derived one; when a thought pops into my head I check it with my intellect, and if it appears insightful I have to immediately write it down for future use. This process propels me forward. I cannot let ideas disappear and they will if I am not ready and willing to grab the idea as soon as it comes to me. I am still in the process of liminality; I still feel unstructured, adrift, acutely aware of my mortality and with a regular sense of fear. I have not exited this stage at this time. And this process is being played for keeps:

    To be in true liminality, or in liminality truly, however , is to be in for keeps. This belongs to the nature of the experience. It is absolute, and there is no way back to pre-liminal existence. The soul senses that this passage is one-way and that this condition will endure through all time, or until perhaps it fades away.

    Interesting, looking at my astrological transits which show one’s current astrological influences (you can see yours here if you plug in your info and for today’s date3), I’ve had the following strong influence impacting my chart for a number of years now:

    Opposition Pluto – Sun

    Challenging aspect: This is a long-lasting transit that suggests a period of great transformation and change. It marks an important stage in the development of the ego. You are intense and passionate, but you need to avoid holding on tightly to that which has outgrown its purpose in your life. Changes in your life’s direction are in order, and you may initially do everything you can to resist them. It is best to go with the flow at this point in time, although it can be very hard to do so, as you may be lacking in objectivity for the time being. It can be hard for you to see that the changes taking place now will benefit you down the road….

    Pluto transits to the Sun challenge us to face up to unexpressed or poorly expressed traits of our Sun sign and house, as well as Sun aspects. We discover our own power and strength, and we re-work our very sense of identity, which invariably affects our life path. How we have defined ourselves to date is now challenged. In some cases, people live this transit through key figures in their lives. These transits force us to confront our will, power, assertion, and authority. Sometimes, a relationship comes into focus. We face the need to be more independent, assertive, and autonomous. Perhaps most importantly, Pluto transiting our Sun puts us face to face with exactly what it is that has been holding us back from living life more fully and meaningfully.

    This transit calls you to redefine your value system and life attitudes, and generates intense energy in your life. You are likely to experience events that highlight the need to trust, let go, and have faith. You may have to deal with willfulness and issues of power and competition this year–in others and in yourself. There is an inner drama taking place, and a feeling that external circumstances are undermining your own feeling of powerfulness. In the process, you may be able to get in touch with your internal motivations.

    A tendency to want to control your life through some form of manipulation is strong during this influence. You may act in a more selfish or ambitious manner, and this intensity might even surprise you. Meeting with obstacles in your path, however, can force you into the position of using all of your resources to fight back, and you can discover resources you never knew you had in the process. You are likely to emerge from this cycle perhaps feeling a little battered but certainly more in touch with your deeper needs. You may have learned to stand up for yourself or to have faith in your strength. You most likely have experienced some form of psychological transformation or rebirth of sorts.


    The Third Phase: Re-Integration

    The third phase of Stein’s process of dealing with midlife is that of re-integration, which first requires dealing with one’s anima (for a man, one’s suppressed feminine side; for a woman, the animus as one’s suppressed male side). The anima is a trickster; it tries to lure the unweary to it’s doom unless one is prepared for it, in which case it can be used in a positive manner. For example, I feel a bit of a call toward exploring becoming a Jungian analyst myself, but I also don’t feel that is the right direction for me (at least not at this time) – that pull is from my anima. Many years ago I was highly tempted to abandon a career to pursue something that, looking back, would have led to total ruination – that was also a call by the anima. But identifying the call, being suspicious of it but not denying it, perhaps working with it, may further one’s individuation process: “It seems necessary to go through an encounter with the anima at midlife if the individuation journey is to continue and if the midlife transition is to move from liminality into the next stage of integrating the personality around a new core. To shy away, to repress, to run from the [anima] and declare it hostile and unsafe territory…is to abort the process.”

    If one comes through the process of separation, liminality and re-integration successfully, “negatively, he acquires a precise knowledge of limits; positively, he receives a long-range life task. This combination, the knowledge of limits and the conviction of a future life task, constitutes the essence of a meaningful recovery from the experience of midlife liminality. It is a product of this initiation, and a person’s future sense of identity and purpose is based on it.” But there is no guarantee of a successful transition: “Ambiguity and complexity define the Hermetic journey, and the qualities of it and its outcome are largely unpredictable. We may think we are being led home when we are actually only being taken for a ride.”


    Conclusion

    This long-range life task creates an ethical obligation to shape life according to the limitations and challenges imposed by the insights won during the initiatory ascent, producing an inner sense of direction and meaning. Jung commented in his autobiography on what he gleaned from his long-term midlife crisis:

    When I look back upon it all today and consider what happened to me during the period of my work on the fantasies, it seems as though a message had come to me with overwhelming force. There were things in the images which concerned not only myself but many others also. It was then that I ceased to belong to myself alone, ceased to have the right to do so. From then on, my life belonged to the generality. The knowledge I was concerned with, or was seeking, still could not be found in the science of those days. I myself had to undergo the original experience, and, moreover, try to plant the results of my experience in the soil of reality; otherwise they would have remained subjective assumptions without validity. It was then that I dedicated myself to service of the psyche. I loved it and hated it, but it was my greatest wealth. My delivering myself over to it, as it were, was the only way by which I could endure my existence and live it as fully as possible.

    I, too, feel an obligation with my writing here pertaining to my own particular skillset and outlook, which is very different from others’, including Jung’s, and I am doing what I can to honor it, give it expression, and symbolize it for others, although we will see how it develops further. In some ways, it is a heavy and scary weight; seen from a certain perspective, it would have been easier to have been a normie, abdicating my personal responsibility and critical thinking to the herd. The individuation journey is an uncharted balancing act above a void; but as L.P. Koch has argued, some of us will be satisfied with nothing less.

    Thanks for reading.

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    1 Jung noticed that Nietzsche only came in contact with his unconscious later in life, which Nietzsche misunderstood and misinterpreted, as stated in Jung’s autobiography:

    Zarathustra was Nietzsche’s Faust, his No. 2 [i.e. his unexplored subconscious], and my No. 2 now corresponded to Zarathustra–though this was rather like comparing a molehill with Mount Blanc….Nietzsche had discovered his No. 2 only late in life, when he was already past middle age, whereas I had known mine ever since boyhood….He was moved by the childish hope of finding people who would be able to share his ecstasies and could grasp his “transvaluation of all values.” But he found only educated Philistines–tragi-comically, he was one himself. Like the rest of them, he did not understand himself when he fell head first into the unutterable mystery and wanted to sing its praises to the dull, godforsaken masses. That was the reason for the bombastic language, the piling up of metaphors, the hymnlike raptures–all a vain attempt to catch the ear of a world which had sold its soul for a mass of disconnected facts. And he fell – tightrope-walker that he proclaimed himself to be – into depths far beyond himself. He did not know his way about in this world and was like a man possessed, one who could be handled only with the utmost caution….

    Just as Faust had opened a door for me, Zarathustra slammed one shut, and it remained shut for a long time to come. I felt like the old peasant who discovered that two of his cows had evidently been bewitched and had got their heads in the same halter. “How did that happen?” asked his small son. “Boy, one doesn’t talk about such things,” replied his father.

    2 I have other books coming to read on midlife that havn’t arrived as of this post’s publication date: Midlife: Humanity’s Secret Weapon(2022) by Andrew Jamieson, Jung And Aging: Possibilities And Potentials For The Second Half Of Life(2021) edited by Leslie Sawin, and Weird Wisdom for the Second Half of Life: A Book for Men (and those who value them) (2023) by James Hazelwood. Depending on how these books speak to me there may eventually be a follow-up post or perhaps just Note reviews.

    3 Note that sometimes astrological influences conflict, and that some are weak, short-term influences while others can be medium -term or long-term, varying in intensity and influence. I find it helpful to look at when I have unarticulated feelings or influences that I want to bring to conscious awareness but, like anything, it should be taken with a grain of salt.

  • 2024 Predictions Review and 2025 Forecast

    “It takes greater virtues to bear good fortune than bad.” – La Rochefoucauld, relevant to the right’s hopium surrounding Trump’s recent election win

    Welcome back to the second annual prediction post for upcoming 2025 and a review of last year’s predictions. There were also certain predictions made earlier in 2024 about the subsequent months that will be assessed.

    What is the purpose of this? As I regularly stress, one needs a grounding mechanism to assess new information, tying one’s views to reality as best one can. If you don’t have one it is easy to end up with beliefs that are wrong and detrimental to one’s own interests, a plaything for other’s shadowy schemes. My preferred grounding mechanism is one of recursive prediction where I make predictions about the future and, to the extent I am wrong, I updates my views accordingly. I’ve done this for about a decade now, where I eventually ended up with beliefs like the world order order as centralized above the level of the nation statethe egalitarian ratchet effect explaining society’s ever-lurch leftwards, and the Rothschilds owning the world central banks. These predictions don’t need to be absolute: I generally prefer framing them in terms of probability— for example, “it’s likely” or “highly likely” that something will or won’t happen – because the decision-making processes of our elites occur behind closed doors and we’re not privy to the full details. Without insider knowledge, it’s impossible to make predictions with absolute certainty. Still, there are reasonable guesses that can be inferred based upon social and economic trends and society’s underlying beliefs that influence their decision making processes.

    I think it’s important to engage with a variety of viewpoints even if the author turn out to be wrong, just as long as he (it’s usually a he) remains humble and demonstrates a willingness to update his views if necessary. No one is perfect; we are all finite and limited beings, myself included, and the important thing is being transparent and sharing one’s thought process – the opposite of the horrific Operation Trust-tier Q phenomenon which fooled so many gullible people – and then revising them. In practice this is much rarer than it should be, unfortunately. The vast majority of writers prefer to gloss over their prior wrong predictions, learn nothing from them, and titillate the ADD-addled public over the next shiny, attention-grabbing prediction (and the vast majority of the public doesn’t hold these “experts” to account either).

    Okay, let’s begin.


    2024 predictions made in 2023

    Below are the predictions for 2024 that I made in 2023, along with my current assessment of the prediction in bold.

    1. “The U.S. continues to allow in 5-7+ million illegals like every year since Biden took power, even if Democrats offer the gullible masses a fig leaf by pretending to close the border and using the media to hype it. Expect media reporting a drop in crossings or an increase in border enforcement to be fake.” Dead accurate prediction: Kamala/Biden issued some fake executive order pretending to go tougher on immigration even as they kept borders open. Even though we don’t know actual numbers, a good rule of thumb was that 20 million left-leaning illegals were let into the country 2021-end of 2024 and there was basically no letup at all in 2024.
    2. “$2-5 trillion dollar deficit spending continues like every year since Biden took power, which isn’t much different than under Trump.” $2+ trillion deficit in 2024.
    3. “Food inflation will continue to be 15-20% even as official inflation numbers are heavily manipulated downwards.” Accurate prediction; my gauge on 2024 inflation was 20% despite laughable official statistics.
    4. “AI censorship of dissidents will continue to get worse, perhaps much worse.” While AI continues to improve, censorship was not quite as bad in 2024 due in part to globohomo’s switch to allowing “team Republican” to win the election. Limiting disfavored speech continues to be heavily utilized on Twitter via reach limitations. I’ll take the L on this one but don’t think much of a worldview update is needed: I continue to believe heavier censorship is around the corner.
    5. “Regardless of #4, anti-semitism levels throughout the West will continue to intensify.” A very accurate prediction.
    6. “The Russia/Ukraine war will continue either in a hot or cold form as a way to continue to rape the American taxpayer. In other words, if there is a truce, like the earlier Minsk agreements, it will be a temporary truce to recharge for the next round of conflict and the American taxpayer will continue to pay a massive and highly corrupt bill, the vast majority of which will be funneled back into the hands of the transnational security elite. There are signs that such a ridiculous “truce” will happen. This is also foreboding as it frees up the U.S. military for war elsewhere: Iran, China, or a brutal crackdown against white Middle America.” The Russia/Ukraine war continues with Russia and the U.S. taxpayer massively losing, although there remain talks of a freeze along current lines. There are also major hints that the U.S. wants war with Iran; if Trump had been assassinated it also could have resulted in such a war (killed by the FBI/CIA but blamed on Iran) and/or a “redneck rebellion” in order for the establishment to then brutally crush it. I think this prediction was pretty good.
    7. “There will be further movement toward the implementation of CBDCs worldwide. The beta-testing through crypto (controlled via the Tether scam) is over, and now globohomo just needs a triggering event if they want to implement it quickly, or they could slowly introduce it over time. CBDCs will be the greatest power grab in human history and turn humanity into impoverished serfs.” CBDC development continues and is ready to be rolled out; Russia is implementing it in 2025. The Tether scam’s exit strategy is horrifically to backstop the scam onto the American public. Good prediction.
    8. “The Fed will lower interest rates through 2024 to help Biden but then spike rates significantly in 2025 regardless of who wins.” 2024 prediction confirmed; 2025 prediction remains on track.
    9. “Unpopular and astroturfed Nimarata Randhawa “Nikki Haley” and rapidly fading “Shoelift Meatball” Ron DeSantis are clearly hoping Trump is either removed from the ballot and/or imprisoned so they can swoop in. If this happens whoever emerges as the victor will lose against the Democrat as Trump voters stay home (Vivek disagrees). Alternatively, Randhawa is angling for a VP role where she would serve as a globohomo deep state plant, much like Mike Pence was.” This one didn’t pan out due to Haley and DeSantis’s lack of popularity and whatever deal was worked out between Trump and higher level elites for the 2024 election. The assassination attempts (made by national-level elites and initiated by the FBI, CIA and Secret Service) may have scared Trump into picking Vance.
    10. “Despite the real economy being terrible, the Fed will keep the stock market propped up with infinite printed loldollars, also to help Democrats.” Accurate.
    11. “Polling will continue to be used to massage and manipulate, to lead public opinion instead of reflect it. Expect all polling to be largely fake.” Accurate.
    12. “RFK Jr.’s third party candidacy will be boosted by the media so long as Trump is running, because Trump voters are attracted to his anti-COVID vaccine stance even though RFK is otherwise a standard liberal with a screechy, terrible voice. In other words, his third party bid will be highlighted to undermine Trump.” Wrong prediction as RFK joined forces with Trump; I attribute this to whatever backroom deal Trump worked out with higher level elites.
    13. “The biggest and easiest prediction though is:our quality of life will continue to get worse, just as it has for every year since the 1970s despite the performance of the stock market. Higher prices, flat or lower income, fewer jobs, increased crime and homelessness, and the media will blame you for it, if they cover it at all.” Accurate.

    Overall I would grade my predictions in that post as strong overall, with some minor tweaks to worldview to account for whatever backroom deal Trump worked out in order to win the election. There were also some possibilities discussed in the prediction post which were labeled as possibilities and not predictions, and those were more hit-or-miss.

    Other predictions made in 2023 and early 2024 about 2024 made in other posts: globohomo likely ordered Biden out of the running for re-election (prediction from February 2024, accurate and confirmed in June, although I was wrong thinking that his replacement wouldn’t be Kamala); concern October 7 would be the start of a regional or global war which has not taken place yet, although our elites are now itching for war with Iran; Elon Musk and Tucker Carlson as fundamentally untrustworthy, which seems worthy of highlight now; and concern that Trump’s multiple criminal trials would be used to give him the Romanov treatment — although there were two assassination attempts, they ultimately skinsuited him behind closed doors and let him win the election. Notably I did not make a prediction about who would win the 2024 election; while I knew it would be controlled, it was unclear what path our elites would decide on behind closed doors.


    2025+ predictions

    My predictions for 2025 and during Trump’s second term are as follows:

    1. Inflation: Real inflation is likely to stay around or above 20% annually. The high national debt and deficit leave the Fed with limited options: raising rates would lead to a market crash, while lowering them would further exacerbate inflation. The debt to GDP ratio is at an all-time high. Trump wants to lower taxes and he can’t cut enough government waste even with DOGE and tariffs – the vast majority of government spending is entitlement spending (Medicair, Medicaid, Social Security) and defense spending, and Trump will not be able to touch any of those. As such, people’s quality of living will continue to massively decrease. I would not be surprised if the fake economy numbers painting a rosy picture were revised downwards in order to give Trump political trouble.
    2. Deficit: The deficit will remain massive no matter what Trump or Musk does.
    3. Immigration: Trump’s immigration expulsions will be a failure. Attempting to go hard on expulsions will galvanize the left and lawfare, many RINOs won’t go along with it, while all he would have to do is withdraw financial support from the illegals (they live in the country in free housing and receive debit cards with many thousands of dollars on them), criminally punish employers who hire them (laws already on the books!) and offer illegals one way ticket homes and mass emigration could be carried out humanely and cheaply. Even if he were somewhat effective though, which I doubt (the media will highlight his limited deportations either way), he will not be able to evict the 20 million let into the country in the past four years alone nor the tens of millions who came before them. He may get fig-leaf wins such as being able to build more parts of the southern wall and to evict some of the worst of the illegal felons. The WSJ is already trying to prime failure on this issue by falsely claiming it will cost $88,000 for each deported illegalNote: Despite Trump’s (elite allowed) 2024 election win, America remains on the verge of becoming a permanent one party Democrat state due to demographic changes much like California, which I discussed previously. Even taking the election at face value, Trump “won” by 1% against a constantly drunk, non-white, inarticulate, low IQ hooker who everyone – including everyone in the Democrat party – actively disliked. This is a grim picture for the future without radical action.
    4. Immigration continued: Expect Trump/Musk his tech supporters to dramatically expand legal immigration; Musk is bragging about it, also see here, and Trump supports it. Your “choice” is unlimited illegal population replacement or almost-just-as-unlimited “legal” population replacement – enjoy your choice!
    5. Censorship: As part of the flip to dramatically expanded legal immigration as well as other nefarious “counter elite” priorities expect to see censorship wrapped up massively against the right on Twitter. This is what the elites did in part to shatter the alt-right after Trump’s 2016 election win; anyone identified as a “thought leader” or “network node” leading the charge against elite priorities will be shadow banned or banned. These tactics will be mostly effective.
    6. Censorship continued: Anti-free speech measures under the guise of public safety will be passed, but with the real intent of preventing populist messaging on the internet, much like Australia just passed under the false guise of protecting minors.
    7. Anti-semitism: Just like last year’s prediction, anti-semitism will continue to grow even as the ADL forces its blackmailed politicians to eviscerate the First Amendment with anti-free speech laws.
    8. Palantir: Palantir will dramatically expand it’s spying operations on American citizens on behalf of the U.S. government, which is their core function (while it’s co-owner homosexual power-hungry deviant Peter Thiel continues to larp publicly as a dissident, a particular personality quirk of his).
    9. Election reform: There will be no meaningful election law reform with respect to vote-by-mail fraud, ballot harvesting fraud, electronic voting machine fraud or direct ballot stuffing fraud. Even though the upper elites let Trump win this time, they will maintain this current structure so they can simply decide elections moving forward.
    10. Rule by hard power: Right wing populist movements will continue to be crushed as the West continues it’s transition from a managed model via propaganda and election “influencing” to a formal boots-on-face model. This is a process that will not resolve in a year but we will continue to see further steps in this direction.
    11. Populist rage to increase: At the same time, populist rage against the elites will intensify – much like the public’s reaction to Mangione’s assassination of the UHC CEO, the dynamic will shift to an extent from Republican vs. Democrat to populist vs. elitist (and Trump/Musk, despite put in place to redirect populism into ineffective ends, will have trouble managing it).
    12. Corralled dissent: Our elites will try to bring back a form of Q-level Trust the Plan/Operation Trust via the curated “counter-elite” BAP/Moldbug/Thiel/HP Lovecraft network and their associates but it won’t work very well this time; disenchantment with Trump is already growing on the right.
    13. Major negative events incoming: I expect at least one of the following to occur over the next four years and Trump will be blamed for it: war with Iran (or a CIA-initiated internal “rebellion” against it to overthrow it), World War 3, civil war and/or a stock market crash. He was allowed to win to be the fall guy in order to smear nationalism and keep blame away from the Rothschild central bank owners while ushering in CBDC hell. Of these possibilities the signs currently point to war with Iran and/or instigating an internal CIA-directed “rebellion” there, and the CIA may try to assassinate Trump and blame it on Iran again to jumpstart the war.
    14. Trump as a “peace president”: Trump will not be known as a “peace president” by the end of his second term, if he survives it. One of the things he agreed to behind closed doors to be allowed to win the entirely elite-controlled 2024 election was to turn warmonger, and everyone in his cabinet is a Zionist neocon.
    15. Greater Israel: The Greater Israel project will continue at lightning speed, i.e. a Middle East map resulting in something like this:Israel will annex the West Bank and Trump will formally recognize it. The Gaza population will be permanently ethnically cleansed from at minimum north Gaza although there will likely be successful attempts to expel Gaza’s population elsewhere, probably into the West.
    16. Stock market: The stock market a year from now will likely be significantly lower than it is today, in line with this Note.Uh oh; the elites always take the opposite trade against extreme sentiment.
    17. Crypto: The CIA/NSA plan to backstop the horrific, flimsy and obvious Tether scam (discussed here) with public funding will likely be successful based on Trump’s personnel decisions such as Howard Lutnick. It seems that under this scenario that crypto prices will continue to do well, absent a broad-based stock market crash perhaps, even though crypto is entirely dependent on Tether (more Tether is traded daily than the top ten coins combined).
    18. CBDC: CBDC implementation will continue apace both in the U.S. and worldwide. This is/will be horrific as discussed in my post about the digital panopticon.
    19. Populist legislation: As the Senate is 53-47 Republican but only 15 or so of those Republicans are even quasi-MAGA (previously discussed here), Trump will not be able to pass meaningful populist legislation. Again, there may be some weak figleaves like some minor funding to build some portion of the southern wall, but nothing major. Tax cuts for the ultra rich will pass. I would not be surprised for the Republican RINO Senate to prevent Trump from recess appointments, but I am not sure about that part specifically.
    20. Ukraine: Either Trump does not stop the Ukraine war which may escalate further, or if he does it will be as a temporary measure and major loss to Russia with NATO right on Russia’s doorstep and the next round of fighting around the corner. The Putin shills will try to downplay this humiliation even though it will be and already is an unequivocal globohomo win. As I wrote elsewhere:In my opinion Russia has already lost this war. It’s goals were to keep Ukraine out of NATO and the E.U. and both of those things will now happen; Ukraine will end up hosting NATO troops and nukes. The East half of the country which broadly supported Russia is permanently lost to them. Russia has bled half a million troops for almost no gains (sacrificing their soldiers in frontline assaults against heavily fortified positions with little to no artillery or air support while simultaneously continuing to send Ukraine massive amounts of oil/gas and failing, intentionally, to bomb the Dniper bridges that Ukraine uses to resupply itself in the East), versus the West has used Ukrainian conscription without caring about their casualties while losing none of their own. Russia has lost Syria and lost access to the European oil and gas market with Nordstream 2 destroyed; with Assad gone there will be a pipeline built from Qatar into Europe to bypass Russian oil. The conflict may be frozen along current lines or close to them, but that is not and will not be a Putin “win”. It is a ruinous Russian defeat, and an intentional one [i.e. Putin is a globohomo lackey obeying orders from the central bank owners]: if you want to understand why, I suggest you start by looking at Strelkov’s 39 questions from early 2023 about the curious state of the conflict.
    21. The dissident right will sour on Trump while the left/centrists warm to him: The dissident right will sour on Trump and grow more blackpilled as he implements whatever backroom deal he worked out with the upper elites, with a silver lining that it is necessary pain to lead to increased spiritual depth. Elites will attempt to funnel that dissatisfaction into the BAP/Moldbug/Zero HP Lovecraft “counter-elite” network as they have been successfully doing, but those tactics will be less effective over time. Normal lower-information MAGA Republicans will be torn and confused – inflation will continue to make them poorer which they will desperately try to shift blame away from Trump, but at the same time our elites will continue to back off of DEI and in-your-face race baiting in the hopes of luring these suckers to buy back into the system they were growing weary of and especially rejoin the military to go get their legs blown off in another Middle East war. It is possible that liberal and “moderate” voters continue to warm to skin-suited Trump.
    22. Race-blind policies: Trump will continue to pivot toward race-blind policies, going for a big tent strategy appealing to blacks, hispanics, and homosexuals with whites ignored and Jews emphasized and promoted. This is the consolidation phase of the egalitarian ratchet effect.
    23. Gold/silver: Gold and silver prices will continue to rise longterm (perhaps not in 2025).
    24. No justice: There will be no justice brought against Fauci or the other COVID perpetrators in part because that would make Operation Warp Speed head Trump look bad.
    25. Musk: Despite not being a big fan of his, and especially listening to his recent Twitter space discussion where he comes across as having a level of arrogance and hubris I’ve never seen before – he basically thinks he’s God (see here at 1 hour 49 minutes) – based on Elon Musk’s astrological chart (both natal and progressed) he will continue to lead a charmed life, which will last the rest of his life except his motivations will get even kookier down the road (a couple decades out).

    I’ll revisit these predictions at the end of 2025, although one may note that many of these are in relation to Trump’s second term and may not manifest within the first year.

    Lastly, I expect major world events to happen much faster now: globohomo has started it’s sprint toward achieving radical world change in line with Agenda 2030, which seems to have some occult and/or astrological association to it: the timetable set 2,000 years after the death of Christ in AD 30. Trump’s surprise 2016 win threatened to derail the schedule, but Trump has caved to everything behind closed doors and the agenda is back on pace. We are going to see major unusual things happen at a breakneck speed compared to historical norms that will shock the unprepared. If you want to see bigger picture where things are going, see this post on the digital panopticon and this post on the End Times and the Antichrist.

    Oh, one more thing: in the near future I’ll do a post on the worst predictions I’ve made in the past and what I learned from them. Everyone makes mistakes and under a recursive prediction model it is not a shameful part of growing but a necessary one. The important thing is being transparent with one’s thought process and errors and adjusting one’s understanding of the world to try to account for it. At some point thereafter I may look at some of the predictions made within the most popular posts of various large Substack accounts and see how they have held up over time, which I expect to be very poor. A bit more on the thought behind this is here.

    Thanks for reading, and Happy New Year.

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    ADDENDUM: Additional predictions that come to mind over the next couple weeks will be added below, along with the date of addition.

    1. Greater bloc integration (added 12/29): There has already been some chatter of the U.S. integrating/absorbing Canada (see here and here). This seems silly on it’s face, yet there is more to this than meets the eye, as long-term trends point toward future consolidation along the lines of Orwellian continental blocs as previously discussed here:
    2. Unprecedented, blatant corruption (added 1/20): Part of Trump’s caving behind closed doors to the international elite requires them to make him much richer than he currently is. We can see this with the extreme corruption involved with Trumpcoin, unveiled two days before his inauguration, explained here, and Bezos’s $40 million bribe to Trump regarding a stupid Melania documentary, explained here. This is just the start and it’s going to both get much worse and be completely shoved in the public’s faces, with no consequences.

  • The Core Themes of this Substack

    This post offers a brief overview of the core themes expressed on this Substack for new readers, as the ideas expressed here are unusual and it’s not possible to offer such an overview in each weekly post.

    “The first – and virtually the only – condition of a good style is having something to say.” – Arthur Schopenhauer

    When a reader subscribes to someone new, very few comb through the archives of the writer. Rather, a post catches his (usually his) eye, he hits the subscribe button, and then he reads new posts at his leisure, sometimes clicking links that lead elsewhere. I know this is how I do it; there’s been only a handful of Substacks that I read where I felt compelled to go through some degree of older posts.

    Most of what I see on Substack are repackaged ideas seen elsewhere. Unique ideas are rare, diamond in the rough. There’s nothing wrong with that; there are plenty of good writers who can repackage ideas and share them with readers who have not seen them before, spreading the original message. For example, neither of the core neo-feudal ideas expressed on this Substack are unique: that (1) Christianity was a transvaluation of values from master to slave morality, an idea that originated with Nietzsche in his On the Genealogy of Morality; and (2) that the Rothschilds and their allies secretly own the central banks of the world (also covered here), an idea that originated from many sources including G. Edward Griffin’s The Creature From Jekyll Island. However, the combination of these ideas is I think unique: that Christian society allowed Jewish families carveouts to be exclusive money lenders during the Middle Ages because it was considered an errant cousin religion, and those carveouts morphed into the central bank system of today. Hopefully I’ve done a decent job of hitting on this combination in my writing, but I also have what I think is a unique 137,000 word Substack essay covering it.

    There are a couple concepts deriving from this perspective that I havn’t seen elsewhere and that I also think are unique. These include:

    1. The egalitarian ratchet effect. Societies double down on their core values over time unless those values are transvalued or that society is conquered or collapses. Because egalitarianism is at the heart of Christianity, egalitarian doubles down on itself over time in shifting forms (spiritual egalitarianism in Rome, economic egalitarianism in the French Revolution and the Russian Revolution, and now race/gender/sexual orientation egalitarianism as the West implodes). The idea is that a transvaluation of values is the only alternative to the destruction of the West, which may take the form of either a full or (my preference) a partial transvaluation. Based on this understanding Trump’s second term will fail and merely serve as a consolidation phase of the egalitarian ratchet effect.
    2. The complicated relationship between the Jewish people and the central bank owners. The central bank owners use the Jewish people as a bulwark between their endless economic theft and the majority populations over whom they rule; in return they offer the Jewish people a degree of preferment in society, but the relationship is stranger and more strained than it appears on first glance.
    3. Relating to #2, the nation-state counter elite forming (Thiel, Vance, Moldbug, BAP, Anton, etc.) have certain red lines of discussion that are simply off-limits: the Rothschild central bank ownership and the structure of the modern world, the deliberate falsehoods of the prevailing World War 2 narrative where the war was set up from the get-go by our elites, the inappropriate role of the Holocaust as the foundation origin myth of the West, and discussion of Jewish behavior.
    4. The combination of upcoming CBDCs plus a ubiquitous, malevolent woke AI will be used to establish social credit scores and modify human behavior in radical ways, and will serve as the equivalent of the biblical Mark of the Beast, ushering in the digital panopticon.
    5. The increased worldwide centralization trends may ultimately lead, from a psychological and historical view, to maximum centralization in the form of the Antichrist, whose failure will formally usher in a transition from the Age of Pisces to the Age of Aquarius much as Jesus ushered in the Age of Pisces.
    6. Lastly and most importantly, the importance of having a grounding mechanism for which to assess new information. The grounding mechanism I use is one of recursive prediction; making predictions about the future, and if they turn out to be wrong then I update my worldview to account for it. Do this over and over again over many years and one’s predictive accuracy will go up (never to 100%, as we are limited and flawed beings) and therefore one’s understanding of the world will increase. All of the ideas above and below are derived from this approach.1

    I also embrace the idea that governments generally take one of two forms: (1) an oligarchy disguised as “democracy” where elites control the media and manipulate public opinion, using use the lower classes to extract wealth from the middle class, which ultimately leads to widespread poverty except for the oligarchy; or (2) a monarchy or dictatorship that leverages the middle class to resist the rise of oligarchy, though this doesn’t necessarily result in greater wealth for society overall. Here and here are two posts on this.

    I apply this framework when evaluating figures like Julian Assange, who was recently released from prison (though I can’t help but wonder about the hidden conditions of his release). I assess him based on three factors: (1) how well he understands the structure of the modern world, (2) how deeply he grasps the egalitarian ideologies shaping that structure, and (3) how much insight he has into the relationship between oligarchy and its opposition. His understanding is mixed, which is more than can be said for most. I filter and analyze much of what I read in this way, even when it comes to low-status topics like astrology or physiognomy — both of which have been sidelined in modern discourse because they challenge the core principles of egalitarianism.

    I also write about other things that are tangental to these filters, and I am increasingly exploring the esoteric tradition and especially gnosticism (also see here and here) that appeals to me.

    I ask Substack authors reading this: what are your core ideas and your unique ideas, if any? What is your filtering process for how you take in new information? Feel free to link to the relevant posts in the comments and hopefully you’ll get some new readers out of it.

    Thanks for reading.

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    1

    Unless something big happens in the next week which I will feel the need to cover (like Luis Mangione last week) my next post will be a review of my 2024 predictions made at the end of 2023 and offer my upcoming 2025 predictions.

  • Luigi Mangione and the spectre of populist, non-partisan political violence

    This is a post about how technological advancement has made it almost impossible to avoid detection and punishment if our elite’s willpower to catch a perpetrator exists, the climate which is going to make higher-level assassinations more common regardless, and how upper elites will respond to that threat.

    This is actually a topic I’ve thought about covering for awhile, but it was a lower priority compared to others. I’ve increased it to high priority due to current events.

    In the days after the assassination of the UnitedHealthcare CEO I saw a large number of poor takes around the internet, arguing that the UHC CEO assassin would get away with murder. I wrote a Note arguing that he would definitely be caught and caught quickly, which I was sure of even before the image of him de-masked at the hostel he was staying at was released. The poor take argument went more-or-less as follows: the perpetrator covered his face with a mask almost the whole time he was in New York City, he rode a bike (not a public e-bike), he disappeared into central park which lacked cameras, he used a silencer, he wasn’t caught in or around the scene of the crime, most crimes are solved because they had a personal relationship to the victim and here there likely was none, etc. Furthermore, the U.S. has a historically low below 50% homicide clearance rate (i.e.conviction rate), which is pretty crazy all things considered. See here:

    Therefore, because of the U.S.’s low clearance rate, the many precautions the attacker had taken and his lack of personal connection with the victim, it was only reasonable, these people argued, to assume he would get away with murder.

    Let’s highlight the problems with this argument. Yes, the homicide conviction rate is very low, but that is because most murders are of people that the system doesn’t care about. A large percent of those murders are low income black-on-black violence, and relatively few of those murders result in a conviction:

    Here, the victim was a globohomo cog in the machine who made $10 mil+ a year — he was important. Because of that, our elites were certain to spend resources as a high priority to find and track down the killer, especially to disincentivize something like this from happening again. Criminal violence in our system can be applied against the powerless, but never the powerful (unless it’s an intra-elite spat, which this did not seem to be). Additionally, the murder happened in NYC which is one of the most surveilled cities in the world, and all it would take is one wrong move in order to be discovered. Our elites could find him if he had his cell phone on him, they could find him if he left a fingerprint somewhere, they could find him if his silencer was registered (as there would only be a small pool of buyers), they could find him if he de-masked at some point (which he did) or if he used his credit card somewhere. Facial recognition software is quite advanced at this point and they could narrow the list of suspects even if he was wearing a mask by looking at facial characteristics such as facial shape, eyebrow shape, and the distance between the suspect’s eyes. Facial recognition technology isn’t quite there yet to identify people just by the eyes, but it’s not far off either: see this journal submission which states “Multimodality (voice, iris, fingerprint…), soft facial biometrics, infrared imaging, sketches, and deep learning without neglecting conventional machine learning methods are tracks to be considered in the near future” (with that said, Mayor Eric Adams is asking NYC businesses moving forward to ask people to remove face masks (what happened to fraudvirus, libs?) so the masks may still be proving to be a bit difficult for identification, although that technology is also progressing). There are so many ways with modern technology they could track this guy down if the political will is there, which in this case there was. One wrong move and the perp was done for.

    This isn’t the past; we live in the era of the omnipresent security state. Perhaps if he had done this ten or twenty years ago he would have gotten away with it. Still, the perpetrator’s tiny odds of escaping these days would have been higher if the crime happened in a remote area and not the most surveilled place on the planet, but still low odds if the political will was there to track him down. Soon with the implementation of Real ID and everyone needing to submit your biometrics to access public events, combined with the digital panopticon previously discussed where Sundance argues that Peter Thiel, his Palantir partner Alex Karp and Musk are galloping the country toward as quickly as they can, such identification will happen almost instantaneously. The noose is tightening and the public is asleep.

    With the attacker caught (although it’s strange he apparently didn’t ditch the murder weapon), one is going to see the book thrown at him and he is going to be made to suffer – solitary confinement, or genpop with contracted sexual assaults against him – to try to prevent copycats from happening in the future. The official story of how Mangione was caught – that of a McDonalds worker recognizing him and reporting him to the police – is possible, as there are always plenty of people in the public ready to report on a fugitive (reminiscent of the great book The Running Man, not to be confused with the terrible movie, which I will cover in the future) but it’s also possible – if not probable – that he was caught via abuse of the technological security state and then parallel construction was used as an excuse for how he was actually tracked down.

    r/conspiracy - Why are they releasing soo many pictures of this guy, Seems fishy...
    Release of this non-mugshot photo by authorities is highly unusual and just the start of the humiliation ritual. This photo is on the Daily Mail and is not a fake
    The media is also running with the very worst photo of him they could take.

    The public is broadly supportive of the attacker

    The public response to this assassination is interesting to watch on social media: it is broadly supportive of it, believing that UnitedHealthcare is highly predatory and that the CEO’s actions resulted in the deaths of many people. See this Rolling Stone article about it. Mangione’s possible manifesto can be seen here, or a different one hereThis assassination transcended traditional left/right dynamics and represents more of a populist vs. elitist dynamics given that the attacker is hard to pigeonhole: he was a good looking guy (Twitter profile here), apparently an Ivy League graduate1, the valedictorian of his high school class, who was worried about global warming and praised Kaczynski’s Industrial Society and it’s Future even as he seemed proficient with guns:

    To Mangione’s point, UHC has the highest coverage denial rate in the insurance industry, double the national average, leading to record profits for the company (which the CEO was on his way to announcing when he was killed):

    UHC took down the biographies of it’s executives from its website and is fearfully putting up a fence around it’s headquarters. Comments to it’s posts on social media are turned off and they sent out an internal memo for employees not to comment publicly. It’s stock went up the day after the attack, but then fell a lot the day after that, almost 10% between 12/5 and 12/6. The other top executive called the public’s response deplorable.


    Widening wealth disparities increase social instability

    There is no middle class in America anymore; people have talked for a long time about how the middle class is dying, but it isn’t dying anymore – it is dead. Dead, dead, dead. There is simply the ultra rich and everyone else. A shitbox in a major metropolitan area costs well over $1 million if not double that with interest rates on mortgages at 7% – no one can afford to buy a home anymore. The traditional middle class lifestyle – home ownership, two cars, put kids through college, retirement, perhaps only one parent working – is now reserved for the top 1% if not higher.

    This is why the public is generally approving of the attacker’s actions – the general population is angry and upset as it’s quality of life continues to erode, which is only going to get worse (much worse) given the extreme amount of federal debt, which at 125% debt to GDP ratio is higher than it was at the peak of World War 2. We see 20%+ inflation on foodstuff, health care, housing costs, even as the Fed claims that real inflation is 2%. It’s a joke. You can see all the charts here how the wealth disparity really skyrocketed after getting off the gold standard in 1971, and it accelerated further after the decline of the Soviet Union – without fear of communism holding financial predators in check they were free to dramatically jack up executive compensation while ruthlessly decreasing worker pay.

    If people feel like they don’t have a stake in society, if they can’t afford to have a family and if they think the future is going to be worse than it is now, then you are going to see a much greater rise in attacks like this moving forward. I’m kind of surprised that it hasn’t happened more, to be honest; this is the first big one I can think of in recent memory where a higher up executive was targeted instead of terror attacks instigated by our elites against the public.

    As these attacks grow over time, there will be a response from the elites: both in terms of limiting free speech online, to increasing propaganda by labeling such attacks as terrorism, and also result in a vast proliferation of private security forces and walled ultra-rich enclaves, much like one sees in South Africa and Brazil. It will become dangerous for the ultra rich to go out in public without armed security. This is coming and it is neo-feudalism in action. But it will also be interesting to see if UHC quietly lowers their claim rejection rates moving forward – will a CEO want to bear the risk of assassination even if he has a giant private security force (or is the CEO just an expendable cog and shareholders will force him to bear that risk regardless)? What about top bankers or the central bank owners if they become subject to the public’s wrath such as the 1920 Wall Street bombing? The upper elites have never been targeted historically: not a single Rothschild was killed in World War 2 despite many of them living in Europe before and during the war because they controlled Germany’s finances (via the Bank for International Settlements, the Dawes loans, financing and supply of IG Farben, and via Germany’s central bank). Yet the structure of the modern world is slowly, ever-so-slowly leaking out to people (also see here and here). Will the rising risk of assassination in turn serve as a limiting factor for upper elites who may have to ultimately take personal risk into their calculations?

    Bill Gates was photographed by his PR team in 2019 getting a burger to try to appeal to the common man; there are probably two dozen security officers just out of camera sight.

    Mangione’s attack was qualitatively different than other shootings, such as the Las Vegas shooting (buried by the FBI and media), the Trump assassination attempts (buried by the FBI and media; we already know much more about Mangione than about Matthew Crooks), or terrorist attacks (most of them sponsored by the FBI), because this is a populist response to the elites and not the regular elite crushing of the masses with associated mind-games. Psychopolitics touched on this concept a bit in this post. There are very few assassinations in the modern era and most of them are against dissidents or populists both on the right and left, or of strongmen who globohomo used to support but they became tired of (Qaddafi, Saddam). Historically one may think of Huey Long and the Kennedys as victims of this too. Future attacks under this shifting paradigm may be done by lone wolfs without official government sanction or support, and how would elites protect oneself from such nebulous threats? What kind of general anxiety would that endanger? It is interesting that the media is hyping up this attack; perhaps they don’t quite understand what to make of the paradigm shift he represents, or alternatively the media’s owners may want to highlight him in order to further their goals of pushing ubiquitous internet censorship in the future (“We need to clamp down on free speech for public safety!”).

    I hope you found this exploration helpful. Perhaps it’s not a bad thing if our upper elites, utterly materialistic and atheistic2, would have to factor public blowback to them personally as a check on their unlimited rapaciousness and greed.

    Thanks for reading.

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    1 This raises an interesting point about the personality and background profile of this shooter: a likely upper middle class resentment brought about by access to the upper class but an inability to convert that access to money or power; entitlement without payoff. Indeed, the upper middle class has always been biggest threat to the elites, not the middle or lower lumpenproletariat who would not likely feel the toxic resentment/entitlement combination to target higher elites.

    2 According to Eustace Mullins, the central bank owners “adopted the Hegelian dialectic, the dialectic of materialism, which regards the World as Power, and the World as Reality. It denies all other powers and all other realities. It functions on the principle of thesis, antithesis and a synthesis…Thus the World Order organizes and finances Jewish groups; it then organizes and finances anti-Jewish groups; it organizes Communist groups; it then organizes and finances anti-Communist groups. It is not necessary for the Order to throw these groups against each other; they seek each other out like heat-seeking missiles and try to destroy each other. By controlling the size and resources of each group, the World Order can always predetermine the outcome. In this technique, members of the World Order are often identified with one side or the other. John Foster Dulles arranged financing for Hitler, but he was never a Nazi. David Rockefeller may be cheered in Moscow, but he is not a Communist…a distinguishing trait of a member of the World Order, although it may not be admitted, is that he does not believe in anything but the World Order. Another distinguishing trait is his absolute contempt for anyone who actually believes in the tenets of Communism, Zionism, Christianity, or any national, religious or fraternal group…If you are a sincere Christian, Zionist or Moslem, the World Order regards you as a moron unworthy of respect. You can and will be used, but you will never be respected.”

  • La Rochefoucauld’s Maxims

    This is a lighter, simpler post about the maxims of La Rochefoucauld.

    I really like the aphoristic style (i.e. a concise, terse, or laconic expression of a general truth or principle) as a palette cleanser between heavier reads/posts; it allows for a mental recharge. I previously covered these expressions with respect to Diogenes of Sinope, the philosopher who told Alexander the Great to stop blocking his sunlight as he lay relaxing on the ground. Other early practitioners were Theognis, Hippocrates, and Seneca. I will be covering Emil Cioran’s, the pessimistic Romanian philosopher of aphorisms whose perspective was often compared to Nietzsche. I attempted some of my own political ones here, which could be improved upon (perhaps I’ll try again).

    What do I like about the style? I like it’s directness. I like the disconnectedness between ideas. I like how good ones make you stop and think. It’s nice to be able to pick up a book on aphorisms, read as many or as few as I like and then do something else. Nietzsche is also known for his aphorisms, and it was his praise of the aristocratic French moralist writer La Rochefoucauld (1613-1680) both generally and in his Human, All Too Human (1878) that piqued my interest. They had similar approaches in the sense that La Rochefoucald believed everyone acted from what he referred to as “self-love” while Nietzsche believed that everyone acted from a similar “will to power”. Schopenhauer, who I covered previously in my post on philosophical pessimism, also praised La Rochefoucauld. Voltaire, Marcel Proust, Charles de Gaulle, Balzac, Conan Doyle and Blake were also inspired by him.

    François de La Rochefoucauld
    Portrait of La Rochefoucauld

    La Rochefoucauld called his short, pithy comments maxims instead of aphorisms, and they were shorter than Cioran’s or Diogenes’. They’re basically the same thing, though, except for length.


    A brief history

    La Rochefoucauld was a member of a prominent French aristocratic family, participating in military life where he supported the hereditary French aristocracy against both foreign armies and also against the king, who eventually won out against the nobles. La Rochefoucault then retired from public life and eventually published his Reflexions ou Sentences et Maximes morales (Moral Reflections or Sententiae and Maxims), which was revised several times and had a significant impact among the French upper class.

    I picked up the Oxford World’s Classics edition La Rochefoucauld: Collected Maxims and Other Reflections (2008) which seemed like a decent translation, although it also includes the French original which was not necessary for my purposes. It also included unpublished longer essays that were stuffy and boring. I’m going to quote some of the maxims that stood out to me below, ignoring the many average and lower quality ones, and hopefully they are interesting and worthy of further consideration. Like from the Collected Maxims, they are not arranged in any particular order.

    La Rochefoucauld Maxims by La Rochefoucauld: New - Picture 1 of 1

    The maxims

    • We have no more control over the duration of our passions than over the duration of our lives. (V:5)
    • Passions are the only orators who always succeed in persuading. They are, so to speak, a natural art, with infallible rules; and the most artless man who is passionate is more persuasive than the most eloquent man who is not. (V:8)
    • Passions are unjust and self-interested, which makes it dangerous to follow them; so we should mistrust them even when they seem most reasonable. (V:9)
    • It takes greater virtues to bear good fortune than bad. (V:25)
    • Neither the sun nor death can be looked at steadily. (V:26)
    • The philosophers’ disdain for wealth was a hidden desire to compensate their own merit for the injustices of fortune, by showing contempt for the very possessions that she was keeping from them. It was a secret method of protecting themselves against the degradations of poverty; it was an indirect way of attaining the respect that they could not gain by wealth. (V:54)
    • It seems that our deeds have lucky or unlucky stars, to which they owe a large part of the praise or blame that is bestowed on them. (V:58)
    • No disguise can long hide love where it exists, or simulate it where it does not exist. (V:70)
    • If love is judged by most of its results, it is more like hatred than friendship. (V:72)
    • Silence is the safest policy for someone who does not trust himself. (V:79)
    • What makes us so inconstant in our friendships is the fact that it is hard to know the qualities of the soul, and easy to know those of the mind. (V:80)
    • Men would not live long in social contact unless they were deceived by one another. (V:87)
    • Old people like to give good advice, as a consolation for the fact that they can no longer set bad examples. (V:93)
    • To know things well, we must know the details; and as they are almost infinite, our knowledge is always superficial and imperfect. (V:106)
    • The sure way to be deceived is to think yourself more astute than other people. (V:127)
    • It is easier to be wise for other people than for yourself. (V:132)
    • We are sometimes as different from ourselves as we are from other people. (V:135)
    • The ability to make good use of average talents is an art that extorts respect, and often wins more repute than real merit does. (V:162)
    • There are relapses in the soul’s illnesses, just as there are in the body’s. What we take to be a cure is most often merely a respite or a change of illness. (V:193)
    • Someone who thinks he can find enough in himself to do without everyone else is greatly deceived; but someone who thinks that other people cannot do without him is still more deceived. (V:201)
    • It is a great folly to want to be wise on your own. (V:231)
    • It is more often pride than lack of enlightenment that makes us oppose so stubbornly the generally accepted view of something. We find the front seats already taken on the correct side, and we do not want any of the back ones. (V:234)
    • Supreme cleverness lies in knowing the exact value of things. (V:244)
    • True eloquence consists of saying all that is needed and only what is needed. (V:250)
    • Humility is often merely a pretense of submissiveness, which we use to make other people submit to us. It is an artifice by which pride debases itself in order to exalt itself; and though it can transform itself in thousands of ways, pride is never better disguised and more receptive than when it is hidden behind the mask of humility. (V:254)
    • Solemnity is an outward mystification devised to hide inner faults. (V:257)
    • We are deceiving ourselves if we think that only the violent passions, such as ambition and love, can conquer the others. Laziness, sluggish though it is, often manages to dominate them; it wrests from us all of life’s plans and deeds, where it imperceptibly destroys and devours the passions and virtues alike. (V:266)
    • The body’s humours follow a normal, regular course, which imperceptibly impels and bends our will. They progress together and successively exercise secret dominion over us, so that they play an important part in all our deeds, though we do not know it. (V:297)
    • Whatever good is said about us never teaches us anything new. (V:303)
    • What usually prevents us from showing the depths of our hearts to our friends is not so much mistrust of them as mistrust of ourselves. (V:315)
    • Circumstances reveal our nature to other people, and still more to ourselves. (V:345)
    • Injuries done to us by others often cause us less pain than those that we do to ourselves. (V:363)
    • Most virtuous women are hidden treasures: they are safe only because they are not sought after. (V:368)
    • Nothing should astonish us except the fact that we are still capable of being astonished. (V:384)
    • Nobody is more often wrong than someone who cannot bear being wrong. (V:386)
    • In the depths of our minds, it seems, nature has hidden away talents and forms of cleverness unknown to us; only the passions have the power of bringing them to light, sometimes giving us surer and more complete insights than art could possibly do. (V:404)
    • We may look great in a position that is less than we deserve, but we often look small in a position that is too great or us. (V:419) [or see the Peter Principle]
    • Most friends make us lose our taste for friendship, and most pious people make us lose our taste for piety. (V:427)
    • We should not judge a man’s merits by his great qualities, but by the use he makes of them. (V:437)
    • When fortune catches us by surprise and gives us a position of greatness without having led us to it step by step, and without our having hoped for it, it is almost impossible to fill it well and seem worthy of holding it. (V:449)
    • In great matters we should strive less to create favourable circumstances than to profit from those that arise. (V:453)
    • We would gain more by showing ourselves as we are than by trying to appear to be what we are not. (V:457)
    • Our enemies’ judgments of us are nearer the truth than our own. (V:458)
    • All our qualities, good as well as bad, are doubtful and indeterminate, and almost all of them are at the mercy of circumstances. (V:470)
    • Imagination could never invent the number of different contradictions that exist innately in each person’s heart. (V:478)
    • Nothing is rarer than true kindness: usually, the very people who think they possess it are merely weak or polite. (V:481)
    • Young people just entering society should look shamefaced or half-witted; a confident, assured manner usually turns into insolence. (V:495)
    • Quarrels would not last long if the fault was only on one side. (V:496)

    And some maxims from earlier editions which were deleted in the later ones:

    • Everyone objects to something in other people that they object to in him. (I:33)
    • Justice is merely an intense fear that our belongings will be taken away from us. That is what leads us to be considerate and respectful for all our neighbour’s interests, and scrupulously diligent never to harm him. This fear keeps man within the limits of the possessions that birth or fortune has given him; and without such fear, he would be constantly making raids on other people. (I:88)
    • When we no longer hope to find sense in other people, we have lost it ourselves. (I:103)
    • The most refined folly is begotten by the most refined wisdom. (I:134)
    • Every kind of human talent, like every kind of tree, has its own unique characteristics and bears its own unique fruits. (I:138)
    • You cannot answer for your courage when you have never been in danger. (I:236)
    • When you cannot find peace within yourself, it is useless to look for it elsewhere (II:49)
    • How can we expect another person to keep our secret, if we cannot keep it ourselves? (IV:87)
    • Keeping your health by means of too strict a diet is itself a tiresome illness. (IV:274)

    Maxims never published:

    • Just as the happiest person in the world is the one who is satisfied with few things, the great and the ambitious are the most wretched in that respect – because they need to accumulate innumerable possessions in order to be happy. (L. 38)
    • Physical labour frees people from mental pain; and that is what makes the poor happy. (VIS: 2)

    I hope you found these select maxims interesting and worthy of reflection. The pithy and concise statements are different than the longer aphorisms, but in some ways they inspire more thought by the reader. This should be the hope of a good writer, i.e. not to feed you arguments but to help you develop your own.

    Thanks for reading.

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  • On the End Times and the Antichrist

    This post envisions a scenario of the End Times and the Antichrist based on historical trends and psychological incentives toward ever-increasing centralization and control.

    Welcome back.

    I previously wrote a post about how upcoming central bank digital currencies (CBDC) will be combined with a ubiquitous woke AI spying on everyone’s electronic data to form the rough equivalent of the biblical Mark of the Beast, which I called the digital panopticon. I think that post was successful because the pieces are already in place, the evidence sharable and it’s already being implemented on a smaller scale. All it needs is a triggering event such as World War 3, an enormous stock market crash, or a terrorist attack (Cyber Polygon?) to roll out comprehensively, providing the pre-determined “solution” to the artificial crisis. Such a shift will also mark an end to growth-centered capitalism and slow-moving first world erasure, applied not just throughout the white West but also in Korea, Japan, Singapore, and Hong Kong, and the inception of a formalized boots-on-face tyranny, which is now required for elite survival because of how the internet pierces false establishment narratives.

    This post aims to take the biblical Mark of the Beast theme further: into the realm of the End Times and the Antichrist. I am neither a biblical scholar nor can this topic be covered to the extent it deserves to be within a single Substack post, but nonetheless I’m interested in offering the theory in it’s broad strokes. It will arrive at religious conclusions based on certain historical and psychological understandings and the argument is not reliant on religious belief itself. As Robert Browning said, “Ah, but a man’s reach should exceed his grasp, or else what’s a heaven for?” I want to state that the following is an idea I’ve been playing around with; I do not necessarily subscribe to it. It is simply a possibility I am considering among others. The hope is that it may serve as food for thought and offer a perspective, especially to those outside of an exoteric Abrahamic religion framework, that has either not been previously considered or has otherwise been sneeringly dismissed out-of-hand as belonging to low status, closed-minded, backwater religious bigots.

    Let’s start with a recent Note referencing a different but related topic: some of the far-right’s mono-causalism where they attribute everything wrong in the world to Jews. I wrote:

    The monocausalists blaming Jews for everything wrong in the world is an over-simplification that I don’t agree with.

    I am at least a quad-causalist: (1) the malevolent Jewish central bank owners parasiting off humanity, (2) the egalitarianism rooted in Christianity that allowed this parasitical system to develop, (3) humanity’s trends toward ever-increasing centralization and decrease of autonomy and privacy, and (4) underneath it all the Demiurge who loves torturing God souls for nefarious purposes. But there’s lots of other reasons for things generally; over-simplification is a useful heuristic, but this is a complicated world.

    Rurik Skywalker and aux playing@radio phanærozoic offered pretty similar pushback here and here, basically arguing that either the first three or all four of these tie directly into the monocausal argument. I responded to them, but on reflection I thought it was worth elaborating on further, which will then lead into this post’s topic.

    Let’s begin with a broad story about human history.


    Human history as ever-increasing centralization

    For almost all of humanity’s history our species was comprised of small hunter gatherer tribes. We roamed the land and the men hunted and made war while the women raised children, cooked and foraged for fruits and nuts. These tribes were small and egalitarian and the tribe listened without reservation to it’s leader, who in turn was responsible for his actions and accountable to the tribe. This is why we have the Dunbar number where we can only maintain ~150 relationships and why so many people believe authority figures without pushback, leading to the NPC meme. Prior to technological society there was an intimate relationship between the ruler and the ruled, a symbiotic relationship of power and accountability that doesn’t exist today.

    About ten thousand years ago, for reasons unknown, humanity underwent the neolithic agricultural revolution where humanity discovered agriculture and became sedentary, along with domesticating animals. This resulted in major population expansions and a rapidly changing genetic makeup, covered previously here. There were all sorts of new diseases that humanity endured and adapted to arising from living in crowded, unsanitary environments (which provided a huge advantage when conquering North America; 90% of Native Americans died of smallpox which they had no genetic resistance against), and a development of alcohol and lactose tolerances, for example. The neolithic agricultural revolution also resulted in major economic inequality that had not existed previously: in a hunter gatherer society everyone was fairly equal, but in sedentary agricultural communities a king could demand the excess production of farmers under penalty of death. Those who resisted the king were killed and removed from the gene pool, as were violent or disruptive individuals who interfered with tax collections, leading to more docile populations over time.

    This development of agricultural communities eventually gave way to cities, from there to the written word, and from there to the creation and dissemination of exoteric, left-brain, liturgical religions, which over time out-competed the right-brain, esoteric, experiential, shamanistic religions of the hunter gatherers (which I have significant sympathy for and interest in). They were successful in outcompeting shamanistic religion because esoteric experiential religions do not scale to size the way exoteric liturgical religions do, where you can have a priest telling the masses what to believe. Getting a large group to believe the same thing allowed a much larger group of people with similar ideas to outcompete smaller groups with much more individualistic beliefs.

    What we see from this story is one of ever-increasing centralization over hundreds and thousands of years. Humanity went from small hunter gatherer tribes to being centralized in agricultural communities, which then gave birth to more centralized cities with much greater populations and religion centralized in written liturgical forms in order to scale for size and to centralize power in priests. These groups grew larger and larger because it’s easier and safer to cooperate with others instead of fight to the death over resources, and also because larger entities are both stronger and create economies of scale in a way that smaller communities don’t. This centralization was therefore natural and inevitable.

    We can look at the development of Christianity as an extension of this process: the switch from polytheism to monotheism centralized the realm of the Gods. It’s push for spiritual egalitarianism aimed to treat everyone within society more or less equally and therefore in a more standardized, efficient way. Christianity had certain developments that aided strongly in this process: it’s belief in Heaven and Hell, it’s division of the world into regional administrative areas headed by priests, and it’s focus on almsgiving as examples.

    With respect to Heaven and Hell, belief in it allowed authorities to harass believers and spy on them in a way previously unheard of in tolerant, polytheistic Hellenism, where everyone ended up in Hades regardless of one’s actions. Under Christianity Christ was the way, the truth and the light, and every other religion was not merely wrong but plunged its followers into a demonic darkness and risked them eternal damnation.  To allow someone to continue in an alternative form of worship or a heretical form of Christianity was not to allow religious freedom; it was to allow Satan to thrive. With each individual soul the battlefield between Heaven and Hell, John Chrysostom preached that Christians should spy on each other and everyone else to root out sin.  They should watch their fellow congregation and when they found them sinning, they should hound them, shun them, report them.  Nowhere was to be beyond the gaze of the good Christian informer, even private homes.  “Let us be meddlesome and search out those who had fallen,” he advised in a sermon that encouraged Christians to hunt out those who were lapsing from true Christian ritual.  “Even if we must enter into the fallen one’s home, let us not shrink back from it.”  Lest any of his flock felt awkward about such an intrusion, Chrysostom reassured them that what they were doing was not done to harm others but to help them.  To turn on, hound and hunt their fellows in this way was not to harm them — it was to save them.

    Indeed, when the last Hellenic emperor Julian the Apostate (who I covered previously here) tried to roll back Christianity and save Hellenism, he adopted the Christian centralization strategies of establishing regional Hellenic priests to be in charge of large administrative areas (as recounted by Gore Vidal, “I suggest we fight them on their own ground. I plan a world priesthood, governed by the Roman Pontifex Maximus. We shall divide the world into administrative units, the way the Galileans have done, and each diocese will have its own hierarchy of priests under a single high priest, responsible to me”) and offered alms to the poor (“I set about reorganizing…no, organizing Hellenism. The Galileans have received much credit for giving charity to anyone who asks for it. We are now doing the same. Their priests impress the ignorant with their so-called holy lives. I now insist that our priests be truly holy. I have given them full instructions on how to comport themselves in public and private”). Historian Tom Holland believes Christianity impacted Julian’s value system more than he acknowledged publicly or even probably to himself. So we can see here that these centralization and control technologies found in religion were highly adaptive; even Hellenism would have needed to adapt them if Julian had been successful!

    Even though Christianity’s ascension ultimately helped result in the destruction of Roman art, science, architecture, etc. and plunged the world into a much more decentralized Dark Ages which lasted hundreds of years, humanity eventually came out of this process ready for more centralization and control given the egalitarianism that had taken hold in the prior centuries, which would allow governments to treat giant populations equally in standardized processes. One step back, two steps forward on a long enough timeline. While humanity’s centralization processes have undergone long reverses that lasted depending on the region for hundreds of years, judging from this story, they should be seen as eras of consolidation and change necessary for even more control in the future. This can also be seen in how technology developed over time.


    Technological innovation as hyper-increases in centralization

    First, let’s define technology. “Technology” as used herein means the technical processes that create efficiencies for standardized, expected outcomes. Picking up a rock and bashing in your enemy’s skull is a use of technology. Lighting a fire is technology. The benefits of technology are that it allows one to dominate others who are less technologically advanced. A man with an iron sword will defeat a man with a bronze sword. A man with a steel sword will defeat a man with an iron sword. A man with a gun will defeat a man with any sword, etc. Because people do not enjoy being dominated, there is a constant and ever-present competitive arms race for stronger and better technologies. When China resisted England shoving opium down it’s throat, England went to war and forced China to accept the opium and then to pay for the cost of the wars (the family behind it, the Sassoon’s, remains ultra-wealthy to this day). China didn’t like that very much and they were in the right, but no matter; England’s technology was better, they won and China had to suffer the consequences. So what we can say is that technological advancement is always going to happen; the luddite Kaczynski’s analysis was wrong. Technology may have terrible things associated with it – it does! – but technological advancement is inevitable regardless (one can argue that technology advances can be steered and directed, of course).

    Now, technology is limited by the traditions, beliefs, culture, and religions of a people. This is because technology causes unforeseen changes in society, which can be disruptive and unpleasant and may therefore be resisted. As an example Rome had invented water mill technology but did not make widespread use of it; they were based on a slave economy and either could not envision or received too much pushback from slave-owners for widespread implementation of such a radical technology. But because a higher-tech society will dominate a lower-tech one, the long-term trends are to discard tradition, belief, culture, and religions in order to effectively pursue technological advancement, which is what we see today. Interestingly, increases in technology are occurring at a faster and faster pace as humanity develops. As those prior roadblocks to technical advancement withered and died, people’s willingness to adopt new technologies occurs at an increasingly faster and faster pace. Rene Guenon in his The Reign of Quantity and the Signs of the Timespreviously covered here and here, notes how time speeds up and technology advances more rapidly in this age, which he calls the Kali Yuga. Ernst Junger also recognized this process, reviewed by Michele di Adelaide here.

    Let’s continue with our story after the rise of Christianity and the decline of Rome. After Rome fell and Catholicism arose the West entered the Dark Ages, which lasted many hundreds of years. Increases in technology began in earnest after Muslims reintroduced Aristotle to the West, whose works had almost been entirely purged during Christianity’s ascension. Aquinas’s integration of Aristotlean logic into Catholicism paved the way for the Renaissance and massive increases in technological innovation. Inventions during the Renaissance included the compound microscope, the telescope, the thermometer, the barometer, the air pump, greatly and improved clocks, and the world was discovered by Columbus, Vasco de Gama and Magellan.  Manuscripts of the Hellenists were unearthed and translated.  Many of the schools of the ancient world flourished again.

    Technological innovation sped up global centralization efforts and standardized people’s thoughts. Gutenberg’s printing press made the communication of ideas cheaply available to the public and led to Protestantism taking power out of the hands of the Catholic Church. The wide dissemination of the written word made people more similar via written propaganda. Tocqueville described the NPC meme in 1895: “What is still more strange is that all these men, who kept themselves so apart from each other, had become so much alike that it would have been impossible to distinguish them if their places had been changed.” He was talking about the effects of reading books mass-produced by the printing press. The effects of the printing press then gave rise to the modern nation state by tying larger groups of people together via ideologies and propaganda in ways that were previously not possible. The world transitioned from a world controlled by kings to a world controlled by the owners of mass media and banking, but one which worked carefully, indirectly, and in the shadows away from the potential outrage of the masses. This system of indirect control gave rise to ever-expanding managerialism, which N.S. Lyons commented on in a recent post where he wrote:

    Now, the evolutionary genius, so to speak, of managerialism is that it functions constantly to justify its own perpetual expansion. The larger and more complex any organization or system grows, the exponentially more managers seem needed to manage that complexity and the inefficiencies it generates; managers therefore have a strong incentive to ensure that their organization continues to grow larger and more complex, resulting in greater relative power and resources for the managers as a group within the system; more growth means more managers must be hired, who then push for more expansion by rationalizing a need for their cancerous bureaucratic apparatus to take over an ever-larger range of functions; as more and more territory is surrendered to bureaucratic management, more managers must be trained and educated, which requires more managers… and on and on. I call this expansionary dialectic the managerial doom loop.

    But this process works just the same at the level of a country, or even an entire civilization, as it does for a company, non-profit, or government agency. The result, in the case of our societies, has been the exponential growth of a “professional managerial class,” with a permanent interest in seeing the continual expansion of managerial control into every area of state, economy, culture, and even international affairs. In this it has wildly succeeded, producing a new kind of regime — the managerial regime — staffed by a constituent managerial class and dominated by a distinct managerial elite. These elites all behave with flock-like similarity, no matter what institution or part of the world they are located in, because they all have the same basic managerial interests and personality….

    Whereas once these managers’ drive for technocratic control, social engineering, and cultural bulldozing had been largely restricted to the national level, these impulses could now be advanced to their maximum extent — i.e. to the whole world. And so we see the managerial elite almost immediately declare the nation-state obsolete once grander supranational opportunities beckon. The objects of managerial ambition become “global problems” necessitating “global solutions” and indeed “global governance.” Suddenly issues like the flow of “human capital” (aka mass migration) become complexities to be managed at the level of a global system, removing them from the legitimate concern of mere nations. This is the true meaning of the “globalism” which happened to appear at this moment in history: not free trade or anything so utilitarian, per se, but the conceptual expansion of the managerial elite’s eager, grasping reach to the entire planet.

    The extremely bloody wars of the 20th century, along with further increases in communications and propaganda technologies (telegraph, phone, internet, television) gave rise to this managerial state, as well as the United Nations, global economic and military groupings like the United States’s worldwide military and cultural domination and the Soviet Union, along with smaller economic units like the European Union and NAFTA. In the current era we are seeing further integration into almost Orwellian continental worldwide blocks through forced immigration and increased trade akin to this:

    So one of the things that the reactionary nationalist right gets wrong is that they want to return to a bygone era of nation states; they do not see the story of humanity as one of ever-increasing centralization and control. The nation state was a product of technological innovation and it was rendered obsolete by further increases in technological innovation and control.

    If these four Orwellian-type zones are formalized and fully integrated, would that be the last form of centralization and control by our elites? Not likely. Perhaps there would be further attempts to integrate into a simple One World government. Perhaps there would be further attempts to control worldwide populations on an individual level. Perhaps the control gets so extreme they simply wipe out most of the world’s population (they take up too many natural resources, as Yuval Harari argues) and blend the remaining population into a permanent 500 million or one billion slave class to be used for medical and sexual exploitation. Perhaps humanity itself is simply the biological bootstrap for A.I. to take over the world or galaxy.

    But there is another possibility: the world centralizing in Greater Israel according to biblical prophecy.


    Biblical end times

    One of the possibilities of the final stage of centralization and control is the Greater Israel project, the rebuilding of the Third Temple and the return of the “Messiah”. As the central bank owners are mostly or entirely Jewish, since it’s inception Israel – directed by Lionel Rothschild via the Balfour Declaration – has been treated unlike any other country on the planet, i.e. it is allowed ethnic and religious exceptionalism in a world that otherwise forbids it. What we are seeing today is astonishing in it’s rapidity:

    1. Hamas is wiped out and Gaza’s population forced into the southern part of the strip (with steps being made to ship them out permanently),
    2. Israel is about to annex the West Bank,
    3. Hezbollah is totally decimated (with Israelis calling for settling southern Lebanon in opinion pieces in their newspapers and Israel secretly sending archaeologists to create Israeli claims for the area),
    4. Iran, Israel’s last enemy, is sitting quietly and toothlessly in response even as its proxies are destroyed, its generals are assassinated, it’s president dies in a mysterious plane crash, and foreign dignitaries on its soil are murdered (as Iran is, like other so-called enemy countries like Russia and China, controlled by the central bank owners). Even Israel’s propaganda outlet the Jerusalem Post gloats about how weak Iran is.1
    5. Saudi Arabia wants to sign a peace treaty with Israel as soon as it can, just like Jordan and Egypt have done.
    6. Syria is destroyed – Israel regularly bombs Assad’s remaining territory with no response and Israel/the U.S. are secretly sponsoring the Islamic attacks in Aleppo.

    Two years ago it would have been impossible to believe that Israel would have completely destroyed its neighboring enemies and that Iran would be so toothless, but here we are, as Rurik Skywalker also points out here and here.

    It was the 10/7 Hamas attack that set Israel’s extremely aggressive response in motion. Of course, Israel at minimum knew about the attack ahead of time and let it happen; there are plenty of reports about front-line soldiers reporting military build-up and being ignored. Are we supposed to believe that Israel had detailed knowledge of every aspect of Hezbollah’s chain of command to the point of placing explosive beepers and assassinating all twenty of its top leaders but it didn’t know that Hamas had a military build-up right on the border? The concept is ludicrous. It was allowed and possibly even planned by Israel as a casus belli for wiping out Gaza to pave the way for oil and gas pipelines and the Ben Gurion canal and to remake the face of the Middle East.

    The Greater Israel project won’t happen today or tomorrow – Israel doesn’t have the population for it yet – but in a couple more generations based on Orthodox/ultra-Orthodox birthrates?2 What would stop it, perhaps an Iranian nuke? Jewish, Christian and Islamic messianism have prepared the Abrahamic world for the rebuilding of the Third Temple to usher in the End Times; whether or not biblical prophecy is real or not is irrelevant – what matters is the nature of belief itself, because belief can summon an egregore and become a self-fulfilling prophecy. In other words, even if there is no true biblical prophecy, if enough people believe in it then their beliefs can lead to such an outcome. According to Chabad, “One of the principles of Jewish faith enumerated by Maimonides is that one day there will arise a dynamic Jewish leader, a direct descendant of the Davidic dynasty, who will rebuild the Temple in Jerusalem, and gather Jews from all over the world and bring them back to the Land of Israel. All the nations of the world will recognize Moshiach to be a world leader, and will accept his dominion.”

    This seems to play into developing trends. With Greater Israel effectuated, the Third Temple rebuilt, with the CBDC/woke AI social credit score Mark of the Beast applied everywhere, and with extreme control technologies cutting out anyone from society who disobey, would that not be the right time to proclaim the Messiah and the End Times? This Messiah would be the apotheosis, the cumulation, of all the world’s power centralized in the hands of one man and his backers, formalized and open for all to see; the fulfillment of divine prophecy.

    undefined
    Antichrist in the Catalan Atlas (1375). The label reads: “Antichrist. He will be raised in Goraym of Galilea, and at the age of thirty he will start to preach in Jerusalem; contrary to the truth, he will proclaim that he is Christ, the living son of God. It is said that he will rebuild the Temple.”

    At the same time, anti-semitism is rising quickly in the West as it’s quality of life dramatically decreases into neoliberal feudalism – would that stop this project, or perhaps advance it in accordance with “gather[ing] Jews from all over the world and bring them back to the Land of Israel”? Is there a time limit involved, is there enough competence to pull this off? Is that why it seems like our elites are sprinting ahead to enact their schemes?

    This leads into the next question: what happens if or after this Messiah occurs? Where can power centralize further after it is entirely centralized? The Tower of Babel rebuilt – then what? One can envision the cumulation of thousands of years of human history which labored so hard toward centralization: crystallized into it’s maximum form, there would be only one direction left for humanity to go, where it would have to go as change is inevitable in life: de-centralization and a loss of centralized power, permanent, in the long term. The Kali Yuga would be over; it would be an entirely different world.3 Under this conception the Messiah would be revealed as the Antichrist; psychologically and spiritually, Carl Jung stated in his Answer to Job that the God figure of Christ must eventually result in it’s polar opposite, as God would need that experience in order to grow spiritually as well.

    The Preaching of the Antichrist (1500-1504) by Luca Signorelli. A Jesus-like figure is preaching on the pedestal; note Satan is whispering in his ear.

    Nikolai Berdyaev, too, believed this period of global technological subjugation would give way to a spiritual revolution which would accompany widespread dissolution of state power. The true Messiah would be the one who ends the centralized system and collapses the Tower of Babel. It wouldn’t be the Rapture with bodies disappearing into Heaven, but it would result in an entirely and radically new paradigm for living.

    The energy released by such an event would be incalculable; the memory of pure maximized centralization and the horrors it would unleash onto the world’s population (which will/would be beyond our nightmares) would serve as an enduring reminder about the dangers of believing authority figures and trusting in ideology; it could usher in formally the Age of Aquarius, much as Jesus ushered in the Age of Pisces.4 As Jung wrote, “The astrological sign of Pisces consists of two fishes which were frequently regarded as moving in opposite directions. Traditionally, the reign of Christ corresponds to the first fish and ended with the first millennium, whereas the second fish coincides with the reign of Antichrist, now nearing its end with the entry of the vernal equinox into the sign of Aquarius.”


    Analysis

    Would such a scenario outlined (and as stated at the start, it is not one I necessarily subscribe to) somehow justify all the horrors, the pain and suffering that came before and is yet to come? Would it redeem that suffering in the eyes, ears and hearts of those who lived through it and experienced it by giving meaning to it? How would it explain the Jewish role in world history – always at the forefront of disruptive revolution, of terrifying control and deceptiveness and insane will-to-power couched as “tikkun olam” in an inverted horror-simulacra? Would it show that the Jews, indeed, had an important if dreadful role to play in the ensuing drama?

    Waiting for this or any other scenario to play out is, of course, a fool’s errand. Every generation since the time of Christ has thought that this would be the End Times; all were disappointed. The early Christians thought that the Antichrist would arise out of Rome and that the End Times were imminent; the stories told inspire and provide hope to each generation carrying their own cross today. There is so much we can do individually within our own power to further our individuation process (not to be confused with individualism) and try to build life balance without waiting for a magical new era to begin.

    Still, it’s strange that we are living in a moment of such rapid technological change where it feels like it is heading to some sort of final cumulation, the crux of thousands of years of history which will likely be horrible. Does our placement as humans in this particular time and place give weight to the simulation hypothesis? Could this process have happened before, with the final trauma searing into our collective unconscious ala Jung and remembered as the Tower of Babel, Atlantis, Noah’s flood?

    I hope you found this to be an interesting story. I’m not sure I necessarily buy it, but it’s an explanation worth exploring and wrestling with, and it does another thing: it offers long-term hope and perspective that if things get much worse, that there may yet be a dawn and a new day after the nightmares to come. On the flip side, just as everything on this plane contains both positive and negative elements within it, taking the theory too seriously could be de-motivating for action against globohomo in the present.

    Thanks for reading.

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    1 From here: “It is evident that the succession and escalation of Israeli assassination operations against prominent Iranian leaders or Iran loyalists has not resulted in any significant cost to Israel; the reaction of the Islamic Republic did not exceed verbal threats and the firing of antiquated missiles – which were intercepted by Israel and its allies – to satisfy the psychological needs of the pro-Iranian public. 

    These minimal consequences will encourage Israel to target Iran’s top leaders, including Khamenei himself.

    It turns out Israel’s successive and escalating assassinations of prominent Iranian or pro-Iranian leaders have not, as of now, resulted in a cost that would compel the Israeli security establishment to discontinue of these bold operations, even if they hit the head of the Iranian regime.”

    2 The ultra-Orthodox have the highest birthrates in the developed world, their population increased by 50% between 2009 and 2019, and per this report are projected to increase from 1.1 million to 6.2 million by 2064, a mind-boggling increase:

    3 Rene Guenon came to the same conclusions, although he approached it from a different angle, discussed here. To him humanity is experiencing the “solidification” of the world as part of a cosmic cycle where energies increasingly descend from the higher levels of spirituality and connection to God down into the most secular materialism imaginable. Eventually the point is reached where it was not possible to become any more secular or materialistic, that spirituality had been entirely excised from people’s lives, and there would be nowhere left to go once that process completed except into a new paradigm, a new age where connection to God would be everywhere and the cycle of descent would begin anew.

    4 Stephan Hoeller argues in an interview that Carl Jung, the greatest gnostic of our era, believes that we are entering, with great difficulty and pain, the Age of Aquarius where mankind’s spiritual abilities will be changed and uplifted in accordance with gnosis. He states (and is discussed further here and here):

    [Hoeller]: Speaking of Jung, it is no doubt known to many that his mysterious and long-awaited book Liber Novus (The Red Book) has been published at last. One of the principal disclosures to be found in this work is Jung’s belief that the Age of Aquarius is upon us, that significant changes in the consciousness of humanity are taking place, and that more of the same may be expected in the future. The “Aeon of Aquarius,” as Jung calls it, will eventually bring great psychological changes in its wake, amounting to a new religious consciousness which will differ greatly from the religious consciousness of the Piscean Age. It will manifest primarily in a new God-image that was very important to the ancient Gnostics and that in various ways has made its appearance throughout history in the esoteric tradition.

    Two thousand and some years ago a new religion constellated itself in the Mediterranean region. With that religion came a new myth of redemption, centred in the image of Jesus, the Saviour God. Now Jung is telling us in The Red Book that the Aeon of Aquarius is upon us, and with it comes the new God-image of the God within. This image is of course none other than the God to whom St. Paul referred as “the Christ in you, our hope of glory.” It is also the indwelling Christ affirmed and venerated in the Gnostic tradition.

    There is no doubt that Jung saw in the new Gnostic Renaissance, which began with the discovery in 1945 of the Nag Hammadi library, a manifestation of his own prophecy in the then still secret Red Book. The connection of Jung’s prophecy with the tradition of Gnosis is unmistakable.

    In his Red Book, Jung stated clearly that the task of the present and near future was “to give birth to the ancient in a new time,” and he clearly meant the Gnostic tradition is in fact that ancient thing to which he and others were giving birth.

    I have spent a very large portion of my adult life studying and commenting upon the work of Jung and the Gnostic sacred writings. I should say, then, that humanity today is experiencing the rebirth of Gnosticism, and its principal God-image is being born in a new time. The esoteric as well as the exoteric implications of this process are momentous.

  • The consolidation phase of the egalitarian ratchet effect

    This post argues that, on top of expecting Trump’s presidency to be a failure on correcting core governmental issues, it will lock in the liberal social gains made over the last decade. Hic sunt dracones.

    Welcome back.

    In INRI_07’s dour post where he recommends viewing the 2024 election through the prism of power politics and which I linked to within my last post, he wrote: “Crucially, this is not to blackpill—I’m not a ‘doomer’. This is simply an attempt to honestly and critically assess the situation, which is necessary for effective political action. Action requires strategy, and strategy requires predictive power. Accordingly, if we want to operate effectively and help bring about real change, there is an absolute imperative to evaluate the political situation, at any given time, in power-political terms, rather than ideological ones.

    He is correct about this. One cannot fight what one doesn’t understand, and one can’t understand something without a grounding mechanism to interpret and incorporate new information. A grounding mechanism is a tool that one uses to assess whether new data is true or false and in what respects it is true or false. The main grounding mechanism I use is one of recursive prediction. It works as follows: based on your understanding of the world you make predictions about what will happen in the future. If they turn out to be wrong, you ask why they were wrong, then update your worldview in light of that new information. Do it over and over again, get lots of predictions wrong and make an ass out of yourself enough, and if you honestly look into why you were wrong each time and learn and grow from those errors then your worldview’s accuracy will eventually increase – never to 100% because we are all limited, finite beings and there is always more to learn and understand – “man plans, God laughs” – but we can get closer. Or as Robert Browning wrote, “Ah, but a man’s reach should exceed his grasp, Or what’s a heaven for?” Eventually I ended up with beliefs like the world order order as centralized above the level of the nation statethe egalitarian ratchet effect explaining society’s ever-lurch leftwards and the Rothschilds owning the world central banks.

    When looking at the 2024 Trump re-election three things stand out:

    1. He was facing multiple criminal trials just a year ago where he could have spent the rest of his life in prison, all of which have magically disappeared – poof! – even as many of his most committed underlings have been criminally and civilly convicted for allegations just as flimsy, while his most ardent supporters who showed up to protest election fraud on 1/6 rot in prison. Why were these charges dropped and pushed out for him and him alone?
    2. Second, the ridiculously high value of Truth Social on the stock market – almost $7 billion, compared to Twitter’s current estimated $9.4 billion valuation – which very few people use. For example, Trump has 8 million followers on Truth Social compared to Twitter where he has 95 million, and no one else on Truth Social is anywhere close to as big a draw. Truth Social was allowed to be listed on the stock market back in 2022 while Trump faced multiple serious criminal trials. One may rationally perceive this as a backdoor $2.3 billion payoff.
    3. Third, the institutional election fraud established in 2020 is still fully operational with nationwide mail-in-voting, Dominion electronic fraud, ballot harvesting, etc. None of that has gone away, it is all still right there to see. Anglin had a nice piece over at Unz where he correctly identified this core issue.1

    Many otherwise intelligent people are hopelessly confused over the difference between Trump “winning” a rigged election and Trump winning an actual election (even though I ultimately voted for him). None of the blindly optimistic Trump cheerleaders can answer this question because the truth is self evident: Trump was turned behind closed doors and was allowed to win. Whatever he secretly agreed to in order to avoid prison and destruction is really bad stuff, at least in part related to total capitulation to the Israel agenda, and the extent of the humiliation will be revealed over time. This is why I believe his victory speech was so subdued. I understand the psychology of the cheerleading – it feels really good in the moment, it results in a lot of new subscribers because people love optimism, and what was the alternative to Trump? No one – but it’s cheap and does a disservice to one’s intellect and soul.

    As I wrote on Notes and as a footnote in my last post, “There are certain times which serve as clarifying when one seeks to introspect into one’s own and other’s souls. The response to fraudvirus (“COVID”) was one of those times; I saw things from people I never would have expected otherwise. But an act of election winning serves a similar function from the other side; who is able to keep their wits about them, their reason in check, and not get carried way in the moment? Who can remain level-headed? I may not be doing any call-outs (what’s the point of drama?) but I’m always watching, always observing – mostly in disappointment.”

    The red lines of the counter-elite are in play, manifesting as personnel is policy:

    These picks should signal that Trump will not be serious about combating the “deep state” and that he will pursue a neocon foreign policy.2 This isn’t entirely his fault, as cabinet nominees must be confirmed by a Senate which is hopelessly and permanently RINO due to the nature of democracy itself. Trump is apparently not even going to blanket pardon the 1/6 political prisoners, instead issuing pardons on a “case-by-case basis” which feeds into the false establishment narrative that some of the political prosecutions were justified. We’ll also likely see a play for West Bank settlement annexation and a continuation of the Greater Israel project. If you want a good cabinet, place Rand Paul and other MAGA Senators with strong proven voting records and who are confirmable in important positions. But that’s too much to ask, I guess. As Joseph Hex wrote,

    Step 1. Use publicly popular pro-America/Anti-Deepstate figures on campaign.

    Step 2. Upon assuming power, dump these people or give them meaningless roles, all the while loudly trumpeting their words but not their (lack of) action.

    Step 3. Appoint the same old war-mongers and bankers.

    Trump did the same the first time – Bannon out within a year, Jared Kushner running his administration – so this really shouldn’t be a surprise. But I guess it is to most of Substack’s “dissident right” community. This isn’t anything new, either; 2008 “hope and change” Obama famously let Citigroup appoint his entire cabinet.


    The consolidation phase of the egalitarian ratchet effect

    I’d like to delve into an aspect I touched on only briefly in my last post. To succeed by dissident standards would require radical action: mass deportations on a scale never seen before in U.S. history (20 million left-leaning illegals were let into the country in the past four years alone) because America in on the verge of transformation into a permanent one party Democrat state, vote-by-mail election laws and Dominion electronic voting machines would need to be abolished nationally, and the Federal Reserve would either need to be nationalized or abolished based on the unfixable state of our national finances. These things won’t happen, and Trump looks poised to walk into a trap on immigration. But what will happen is what I call the consolidation phase of the egalitarian ratchet effect. I’ll explain what I mean by this, but first, a couple of comments by others.

    Joshua Derrick argued in a comment to my last post that Trump represents the ascendancy and total victory of social liberalism:

    At the end of the day, the gushing over trump represents a failure of conservatism in this country just as absolute as election of Biden represented for real leftists in this country in 2020. The man is personally a liberal: has had many marriages and divorces, is promiscuous, doesn’t engage with western culture on more than a superficial level, has and ordered many abortions. He’s allied with arch liberals tech bros Peter Thiel, Zuckerberg and Elon Musk for gods sake. In some ways he’s anti-woke, but he supports gay and transgender rights that would have been unthinkable 20 years ago. The based trad Christian substack warriors who voted for trump are just as cucked if not more than the libs they think they’re owning.

    Joshua is right about this. Social conservatives ultimately threw their lot behind the secular populist rebellion against Hillary in 2016 – voting for the lesser of two evils is such a tempting thing to do – but the price they paid for it was the evisceration of their beliefs. As INRI_07 similarly argued,

    Republican Pivot Away from Heteronormativity, Toward Abortion: To be somewhat crass, I believe the GOP will continue to get gayer and try to put away the abortion issue. The reality is that abortion restrictions, even at the state level, may represent an electoral liability for Republicans going forward. Accordingly, under Trump’s watch, I suspect that the party will continue its move away from its traditional stance on the issue and potentially leave pro-life efforts on the state level to flounder. I believe the United States will basically reconstruct the conditions imposed by Roe v. Wade by enshrining it into state constitutions across the country.

    Although I had problems with this post by Deep Left Analysis where he argues that “the deep left” won with Trump’s election – he conflates three types of leftism which are often at odds, i.e. social leftism of race/gender/LGBTQ egalitarianism, economic leftism (socialism), and religious leftism (secularism and atheism), which he mixes interchangeably which is way too sloppy for my tastes – he is correct that Trump is further normalizing homosexuality, transsexualism, giving up on abortion (leaving it to the states after Roe), and pursuing a level of race blindness that were simply unacceptable pre-Trump. As DLA states,

    “The Trump 2024 coalition was Elon Musk (a Reddit atheist), Tulsi Gabbard (a Hindu), RFK (a liberal hippie environmentalist), Vivek (another Hindu), Kushner (Jewish), JD Vance (married to a Hindu), Peter Thiel (gay), Steven Cheung (Chinese immigrant), Susan Wiles (divorced), Jason Miller (public extramarital affair), and Stephen Miller (Jewish).” And: “The Christian right were the cucks in this election. They sat in the corner of the Republican National Convention and watched as atheists, porn stars, Sikhs, and Hindus took over their party….During the first Trump term, white evangelical Protestants went from 15.3% of the population to 14.6% of the population. Trump can’t save these people, even if he wanted to.”

    The craziest part of the 2024 RNC was Shabbos Kestenbaum’s speech gloating that he was suing Harvard for not being pro-Jewish enough. What a mind-boggling level of narcissistic arrogance or chutzpuh, what a total inability to read an audience – or simply not caring. Thinking that Jews just totally dominate the Republican party and no one can say anything different now.

    On the opposite side, the self-admitted neo-Nazi Cesar Tort, who bitterly turned on Catholicism due to sexual abuse he suffered as a child, whose website is here and who grew up in Latin America, bitterly complains how de-racianated politics in Latin America are. There are right wing and left wing parties, of course, but these are entirely economic and religious parties; there is no concept of racial politics at all in the region. That is where the trends are headed within America as it continues to becomes a less white country. Because one requires a broad coalition to win national elections, as the country continues to become less white to win requires a permanent shift toward appealing to other groups. 2016 was historic white America’s last gasp for running on identity politics unless long-running trends dramatically change somehow.

    This was from 2013. Imagine how much more advanced the changes are now.

    Let’s put this together. The Biden/Kamala administration brought in 20 million left-leaning illegals within the past four years alone. Globohomo has normalized homosexuality, gay marriage, and increasingly transsexualism. Evangelicals, by supporting Trump as the lesser of two evils have given up on social conservatism, and the right has accepted a twice divorced, rampant cheater as their standard bearer. The right is now increasingly de-racianated, accepting homosexuals and transsexuals within it’s ranks (see “Caitlyn” Jenner), and after the repeal of Roe it will or has already given up on abortion as a national issue (correctly from a political perspective, as anti-abortion measures are wildly unpopular, although I think it should be banned after the first trimester except for the health of the mother). This is what we call the consolidation phase of the egalitarian ratchet effect.

    This was actually from 2016
    Tho based, tho conservative.

    The egalitarian ratchet effect was previously described here. Basically, the core values of a society ratchet or double down on itself over time unless or until that society collapses, is militarily conquered from without, or transvalues it’s core values into something else. The core values of Western society are egalitarianism rooted in Christianity, even though society is quite secular at this time. The “left” lead society leftward, then the “right” serve as the consolidation phase which integrates the gains made by the left before the left ratchet even further leftwards. Robert Lewis Dabney, the chief of staff of Stonewall Jackson, commented on how this process works in a bitter screed in 1897:

    It may be inferred again that the present movement for women’s rights will certainly prevail from the history of its only opponent: Northern conservatism. This is a party which never conserves anything. Its history has been that it demurs to each aggression of the progressive party, and aims to save its credit by a respectable amount of growling, but always acquiesces at last in the innovation. What was the resisted novelty of yesterday is today one of the accepted principles of conservatism; it is now conservative only in affecting to resist the next innovation, which will tomorrow be forced upon its timidity and will be succeeded by some third revolution; to be denounced and then adopted in its turn. American conservatism is merely the shadow that follows Radicalism as it moves forward towards perdition. It remains behind it, but never retards it, and always advances near its leader. . . . Its impotency is not hard, indeed, to explain. It is worthless because it is the conservatism of expediency only, and not of sturdy principle. It intends to risk nothing serious for the sake of the truth, and has no idea of being guilty of the folly of martyrdom. It always when about to enter a protest very blandly informs the wild beast whose path it essays to stop, that its “bark is worse than its bite,” and that it only means to save its manners by enacting its decent role of resistance: The only practical purpose which it now serves in American politics is to give enough exercise to Radicalism to keep it “in wind,” and to prevent its becoming pursy and lazy, from having nothing to whip. No doubt, after a few years, when women’s suffrage shall have become an accomplished fact, conservatism will tacitly admit it into its creed, and thenceforward plume itself upon its wise firmness in opposing with similar weapons the extreme of baby suffrage; and when that too shall have been won, it will be heard declaring that the integrity of the American Constitution requires at least the refusal of suffrage to asses. There it will assume, with great dignity, its final position.

    This is why elections ping-pong from Democrat to Republican and back again, cycle to cycle – burning the good will and unmet expectations until there’s a media blitz, a party shift and the process repeats itself as society lurches ever-leftwards:

    So there you have it. Not only will Trump’s presidency be a failure in terms of fixing the national debt, cutting down on inflation (impossible without addressing the debt issue), kicking out the tens of millions hordes of left-leaning illegal immigrants (he may evict some of the worst criminal offenders and build some miles of wall as a very shallow “win”, but even that he may go about the wrong way), restoring proper election law, punishing the worst of the deep state offenders, dismantling the administrative state or pursuing America First instead of Israel First, as well as likely being the fall guy for war with Iran, World War 3, civil war or a stock market implosion, but his presidency will further solidify the cultural gains made by the left within the past ten years – after which society will rapidly lurch leftwards yet again.

    I hope that I am wrong and that more positive things are ahead than what I’ve laid out. I would rather be surprised to the upside than to the downside, though, and based on my recursive prediction model as a grounding mechanism I’ll be happy to adjust my worldview accordingly to the extent I am wrong.

    Let’s end this post with a mock predictive One Day in the Life of Donald Trump’s Greater Israel, inspired by Ivan Denisovich:

    7:00 AM: You wake up groaning under 40% annual inflation. Fox News is extolling what a great honor it is to send Israel $50 billion dollars (the latest monthly extension) and what a great honor it is that the draft is being reinstated to fight in war against Iran which, unfortunately, requires boots on the ground. News claims that giant corporations have scaled back DEI, though, and they recommend doing your patriotic duty and signing up as soon as possible to help our greatest ally!

    8:00 AM: You head to work (early, you need to work 2-3 jobs to not even make ends meet). The number of non-whites despite Trump’s “mass deportations of illegals” is greater than ever – it almost seems like he’s “illegally deporting” in reverse and bringing more in. Well, he did expand the H1b visa program for Indians by 2 million per year, but at least that’s legal immigration, right?

    9:00 AM: You receive an email announcing your draft number. Luckily selective service is digital and they have all of your information, so you don’t have to go into a physical location! It’s very convenient. Your draft number puts you at least a couple months out from service – the war will have to be over by then, right? …right?

    12:00 PM: You use your Trump-sponsored CBDC to buy lunch. Luckily it’s not programmed yet to prohibit you from purchasing meat, but the news says those regulations are coming to help combat global warming.

    2:00 PM: You try to go on the internet to Substack but, after the “Iranian hack”, internet use is strictly monitored – for your own good, of course. Reddit and Fox News are still easily accessible, though, so you can take comfort in that.

    3:00 PM: It’s always a strange thing watching liberals on the street wear pro-Trump t-shirts, but that’s what it’s come to. You observe liberals, obese boomers, and even a smattering of Mexicans and blacks wearing Trump t-shirts — he’s brought them all together. It almost brings a tear to the eye.

    6:00 PM: Your obese liberal girlfriend is wearing her Trump t-shirt again as she waddles around your small, dimly lit apartment. “Look how reasonable and moderate I am, I can update my opinion to take in new information. Look, even Reddit has come around on him!” she exclaims proudly. You want to die.

    8:00 PM: You look at your account balances – they’re negative, you will need to take out another payday loan. You can’t let yourself get fired either as Trump cut back on unemployment benefits (but not for non-whites).

    10:00 PM: You can’t take it any longer; you cry, and cry some more. There is no hope. You turn on Fox News and, like O’Brien, try to appreciate that it’s all worth it because Israel just annexed parts of Lebanon, Syria, and Egypt. You’re doing your part.

    Thanks for reading.

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    1 He wrote in part: “I think people are getting way too excited, and many or even most of the material I see is bordering on delusional, QAnon tier lunacy. Bobby Kennedy is not going to be installed as the head of the CIA and uncover the mystery of the murders of his father and uncle, nor is Ron Paul going to abolish the fed. The FBI is not going to be sent into the tunnels under Comet Pizza. No one from the Biden Administration is going to be prosecuted, the coronavirus vaccine will not be investigated, there will not be mass deportations. You can screenshot this. None of that stuff is happening.”

    2 I never analyzed the Biden cabinet in this manner because it wasn’t needed – dissidents knew he would hungrily serve his globohomo masters like the flimsy puppet that he was. There is a lot of confusion on the right over who and what Trump represents, though.

  • Guest post: On the continued elevated risk of a Trump assassination

    The following is an anonymous guest post from someone whose political instincts are highly evolved and whose opinion I respect. I have discussed previously how the U.S. intelligence community tried to kill Trump and blame it on Iran, but the below post makes the full argument and argues that the threat is ongoing. There are various things I can comment on it, but I will let it stand on it’s own here.

    Like many of you, I am optimistic about the results of the 2024 election. I am hopeful that Trump’s 2024 term goes better than his 2016 term, and that meaningful repair work can be done to this country. However, I have a nagging fear that something terrible could be about to happen. To be clear, I am not predicting that what I will describe will occur, only that I would not be surprised if it did because it advances many goals for globohomo.

    My nagging fear began after Trump survived the first assassination attempt — which I maintain was an inside job. The assassination attempt was committed by Thomas Crooks. To this day, no information has been released about Thomas’s motive. His entire internet presence was erased. The official reports as to how the Secret Service allowed the assassination attempt to occur provide no answers and only raise further questions. In fact, the official narrative is simply that the assassination attempt has left behind “a pile of mysteries.” Apparently, just as the mass shootings in Las Vegas where over 500 were shot only for the event to be subsequently memory-holed, these “mysteries” are to go unsolved forever.

    The aftermath of Crooks’ assassination attempt

    Thus, I believe Thomas Crooks was recruited by the intelligence community, who informed him of how to carry out his plan, and afterwards, all traces of this activity was erased. I believe that Trump was not intended to have survived this attempt, which occurred shortly before the RNC took place. The plan was for Nikki Haley to replace Trump as the 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee at the RNC. We can refer to this as Plan A. Since Plan A failed, the responsible actors needed to come up with Plan B.

    Although virtually no information was released about Thomas Crooks, around a week later, I noticed that a news story was simultaneously broadcast on Fox NewsCNN, and even in Australia and Canada. The claim was that Thomas Crooks was somehow linked to Iran, as the intelligence community had received reports that Iran was seeking to assassinate Trump as retaliation for his killing of General Qassem Soleimani more than 4 years prior, and as a result, Trump had increased security the day of his assassination attempt. Of course, such a claim is ridiculous on its face. Why would Iran wait so long to take action? And are we expected to believe that the stunning security failures at Trump’s Butler rally were supposed to represent increased security? The idea was clearly a deflection from the notion that the assassination attempt was an inside job. But when you see the same story simultaneously broadcast on Fox News, CNN, and Australia, you know this is a narrative that globohomo finds important, and will cultivate in the future.

    It was upon reading this news story and seeing its global reach that I believed I discovered Plan B for what should be done about Trump: elect Trump in a red wave, assassinate Trump, blame it on Iran, and use the resulting outrage and GOP control of government as justification for the US to go to war with Iran. Subsequent events have furthered my belief in this Plan B:

    1. In the immediate aftermath of this “intelligence,” more mainstream media articles started publishing warnings from the intelligence community about Iran’s credible threats to assassinate Trump.
    2. JD Vance discussed “punching” Iran hard.
    3. Thomas Crooks was said to have had encrypted communications on his phone that the FBI could not access (a false claim) that originated overseas.
    4. Biden’s administration told Iran that any confirmed assassination attempt on Trump would be considered an “act of war”.
    5. On November 8, 2024, the DOJ arrested an “asset” of Iran who was tasked by Iran to direct a network of criminal associates to assassinate Trump.
    6. On this same day, the “act of war” verbiage was repeated on Fox News and elsewhere in the mainstream media, seemingly beginning to hypnotize the American public that war with Iran is a potential option. Of course, no one expects Biden to start a war with Iran.
    7. Despite the official story being that Iran has been trying to assassinate Trump asretaliation for his killing of General Qassem Soleimani, the very first day of the“intelligence report” on the Iran assassination threat was July 16, 2024 (and it was spammed around the globe, see above links). This is more than 4 years after Trump assassinated Soleimani. The obvious reason for the delay is that Plan A did not involve Iran, and July 16, 2024 is when globohomo settled on Plan B.

    The Many Benefits To Globohomo Of Carrying Out Plan B

    One might think it would make no sense to assassinate Trump to start a war with Iran. After all, couldn’t Trump himself just start a war with Iran? I think this is very unlikely, as Trump knows that Americans do not want any new wars in the Middle East, and made a point in his 2016 campaign of emphasizing he was against the war in Iraq. Also, Trump is the only modern president that did not start any new wars. This shows that his instincts are against starting new wars. Starting a war with Iran would also go against his America First platform, as America would not benefit from such a war, only Israel would. So, the only way for globohomo to get their war with Iran is to assassinate Trump.

    Such a scenario would advance many goals that globohomo is working towards, especially if it is orchestrated correctly. For example, the CIA can recruit an Iranian and the FBI can have their assets discuss the plot with the Iranian in encrypted communications such as Telegram. After the deed is done they can access the group chat and the media can broadcast the plans everywhere, convincingly tying the plot to Iran. Here are some of the benefits that globohomo can receive by assassinating Trump and blaming it on Iran:

    1. They never wanted Trump to win in 2016, opposed him at every turn, spent the past four years attempting to bankrupt and imprison him, and then tried assassinating him in 2024. Clearly, they would like him out of the way.
    2. They could have rigged the 2024 election similar to 2020, but allowed Trump to win.
    3. Trump vowed to end the Ukraine war within 24 hours of taking office. Globohomo loves at least one forever war, and America has been continuously engaged in at least one forever war for the past 23 years (Afghanistan started in 2001, Iraq started in 2003, when Afghanistan ended in 2021 the Ukraine War replaced it less than 6 months later). A war with Iran can replace the Ukraine war and drag out for years, similar to Iraq.
    4. Trump himself has made statements about “blowing Iran to smithereens” for its threats against him. Since the voters provided Trump with a mandate for his policies in the 2024 election result, clearly this mandate can be spun to include going to war with Iran for assassinating him.
    5. Spiritually, all of the optimism that Trump supporters now have can be crushed in one fell swoop, and strategically Trump supporters who suspect the assassination was a false flag will be less likely to do anything about it under a JD Vance administration than under a Kamala Harris administration. This is especially true given Trump and JD Vance’s own comments against Iran on this exact issue.
    6. The right would be split between those believing the assassination was a false flag, and those believing Iran committed it. This split could overshadow and derail JD Vance’s term similar to how the Mueller investigation overshadowed much of Trump’s 2016 term.
    7. Currently Americans have no appetite for another Middle East war, but the split of Trump supporters who believe it was not a false flag might sign up to fight in Iran.
    8. JD Vance is very much against Iran so he would have no issues advocating for a war with Iran to retaliate against Iran’s actions.
    9. Due to the recent red wave and GOP control of Congress, Democrats can oppose going to war with Iran and simply be overruled. It can be the Iraq War 2.0, where Republicans take all of the blame, especially as it drags on forever.
    10. If the plot was conceived using encrypted communications such as Telegram, with the screenshots broadcast after-the-fact, this can be used as an excuse for Congress to pass a law mandating that Big Tech and communications apps have AI monitor all discussions and automatically report threats of violence to law enforcement, to prevent this from happening again. Such a bill would be most likely to receive popular support if Plan B occurs.

    Some might interpret the above that JD Vance is somehow shady, since globohomo would rather have him as president than Trump. I don’t believe this is the case at all. For the reasons described above, globohomo needs to assassinate Trump to gain the momentum required to start a war with Iran; the replacement is not relevant. I think anyone in JD Vance’s situation would feel no choice but to succumb to the pressure to retaliate against Iran. The outrage from right wing media to avenge Trump will be deafening.

    Again, I really hope none of the above ever comes to pass, and Trump prevails in his term safe and secure. It’s just that globohomo seems to be creating a long paper trail for what I believe to be their Plan B, and given the many benefits they would receive, I would not be surprised if they carry it out.

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  • What would winning mean for dissidents under a Trump presidency?

    In my last post I predicted that Trump’s second term would be a failure if he won. Here I will explain what his administration would have to address if he were to succeed and why he is unlikely to do so.

    Welcome back.

    First, let me offer congratulations the Trump supporters out there – you fought hard, screamed at the top of your lungs here on Substack and elsewhere to vote for him, and it’s nice to have a feel-good moment of a Trump win after the past four years of open-borders Hell (20 million illegals let in at minimum), massive inflation, a couple Trump assassination attempts, war with Ukraine and of course the 2020 stolen election.1 Enjoy watching the liberals teeth gnash, hyperventilate, withhold sex and threaten to move to Canada which many of you seem to love (although this election was much more muted energetically than 2020 or 2016). And congratulations to crypto-mos, who seems to be benefiting from his win with Coinbase soaring 30% the day after the election and crypto up strongly across the board.2

    While I was deeply undecided about voting for president, I ultimately did so in the last moment out of spite (L.P. Koch, one of the more spiritually evolved posters on Substack, also voted for Trump with his arguments herehere and here). I was unsure of what the result would be from the election, positive that Trump would win on actual votes but equally convinced that our elites decide the outcome using permanent institutionalized nationalized mail-in voting overseen by a Democrat voting “tsar”, electronic voting fraud, ballot harvesting, and outright ballot stuffing. As such, the reasonable conclusion is that our quasi-nationalist counter-elites were allowed to win by higher powers. Rurik Skywalker, bless his little blackpilled heart, agrees, as does INRI_07 in this strong post.3 One may curiously note that Peter Thiel’s diabolical public-private partnership Palantir, which exists to spy on U.S. citizens on behalf of the government and route around constitutional safeguards, soared 23% on the day of the election before any of the polls closed. Vice President-elect Vance owes his success to Thiel.

    a1256
    The above 4% increase is the day after the election; it soared 23.47% on election day.

    Regardless, savor the moment, enjoy it, bask in the fantasy of Trump “owning the libs”, take a deep breath, and then — let’s gently, ever so gently, return to reality.

    Here’s a Reagan “It’s Morning Again in America” 1984 ad for your pleasure:

    And here’s Yusaf Islam/Cat Steven with “Morning has Broken”:

    I’m being gently facetious. As mentioned in my last post, I expect Trump’s presidency to continue neoliberal feudal practices (giant deficit and national debt), high inflation to continue unabated and most Americans to continue to get poorer, with Trump set up as the fall guy (or Vance if Trump is assassinated) for either war with Iran, World War 3, civil war, or a popping of the largest stock market bubble in history (with elites using mass public panic to usher in central bank digital currencies resulting in the greatest loss of freedom in human history). The right will go along with this program under Trump more than they would under a Democrat, as we saw with COVID.4 In other words, my prediction is that Trump’s second term will be a failure. In order to effectuate these objectives, our elites want the demoralized masses to buy back into the system they were increasingly doubting.5 Academic Agent delves into this point here, as did this now-famous 4chan comment.

    This post asks the question: what would a successful second Trump term look like from a dissident perspective? What core issues would have to be addressed? The purpose will be to offer a standard to judge this upcoming administration’s actions, as one should support a person or party only to the extent they abide by the principles one believes in, not blindly root for something like a Republican-vs.-Democrat sports-match or a cult of personality.


    The core structural issues

    There are three core structural issues where, if they aren’t adequately addressed in the next administration, the country is finished: (1) immigration, (2) institutionalized vote-by-mail and other voting fraud, and (3) the national debt. This is because unchecked immigration is leading directly to a permanent one party state, voting fraud removes the remaining limited public influence on the electoral process, and the national debt is leading to permanent high inflation and lower quality of living. Other issues do matter such as eviscerating the federal bureaucracy, reverting from a service economy to a manufacturing one, reforming the media and education systems, and becoming more isolationist militarily and economically, but they are not problems that disrupt the feedback mechanism allowing the masses to influence governance nor financial problems that permanently impoverish current and future generations.

    1. Immigration

    Immigration presents one with a very simple math problem: non-whites consistently vote Democrat by substantial margins. Hispanics vote at minimum 56-58% Democrat for president (the ceiling on the Hispanic vote was set for George W. Bush who got 42%-44% of their vote in 2004 by pretending to be a Texas rancher and offering them free housing, precipitating the 2007 crash, although according to exit polls Trump may have surpassed the record with 45% in 2024) and blacks vote consistently ~90% Democrat. If you fill up the country with tens of millions of non-whites, either from them or from their liberal-leaning children one eventually end ups with what happened in California but on a national level, i.e. a permanent one party state.

    Let’s look at this further. The fertility rate in the U.S. is below replacement level, which is 2.1 births per woman:

    Yet this is the population of the United States:

    Looking at the U.S. population from 1970 to 2020, it’s fertility rate was at or below replacement, yet the population grew from 200 million to 333 million. This is entirely due to immigration, both legal and increasingly illegal. This is a rapid and ongoing population replacement happening where whites have gone from 90% of the United States’ population to under 60% in under fifty years.

    Biden/Harris, through traitor DHS head Alejandro Mayorkas, brought in at least twenty million illegals in the past four years alone.6 To fix this would require mass deportations on a level never seen before in American history. When I explain this simple second grade math to sophisticated parties, very smart people, their eyes glaze over or roll into the back of their head and they have no response. Their ability to do basic math is overruled in-the-moment by their desire to conform. It’s unbelievable.

    One may note that while Trump won the popular vote in 2024 (74.5 million to 70.8 million), Kamala:

    1. was a historically unpopular candidate (she received just 2-3% of the Democrat vote in the early 2020 primaries) chosen behind closed doors with no primary;
    2. she pushed extremely bizarre policies and alienated capital by proposing capital gains taxes on unrealized gains;
    3. she is very dumb (~90 IQ), as she could barely put sentences together and was unable to do live interviews;
    4. she picked an extreme weirdo who had pedophile vibes as her VP;
    5. Why did she campaign with Liz Cheney of all people?; and
    6. her and Biden’s record on immigration and inflation was simply indefensible.

    What this highlights is how close the election was between a historically unpopular Democrat candidate and Trump. If Democrats had gone with Mark Kelly, Gavin Newsom, Michelle Obama, etc. as their candidate it’s likely that due to demographic changes that it would have been a blowout election in favor of Democrats.

    Attempting to reverse immigration trends, even if Trump cared about the issue and was effective (which he failed at during his first term) would create major problems for him. There would be endless lawfare from within the court system, exemplified by the Hawaiian district court judge who issued a nationwide injunction against the “Muslim immigration ban”. It would rile up liberals and elites and generate a massive public backlash. And even if he was successful, the entire capitalist model is built around forever profit growth, which is therefore built around forever population growth (more people to sell things to = higher profits). This is why when first world countries experience decreased fertility rates the system needs to import foreign workers to keep the economic ponzi scheme functioning. This pattern is repeated in every first world country. If there is a major decrease in population, there will be a large decrease in economic profits and an economic contraction, which could spiral from there. It is a catch-22 that is only resolvable if certain alternative values are placed long-term above economic prosperity, which the American population has close to zero stomach for.

    2. Voting changes

    If one hopes to win elections in the future what is required is not just demographic reversals but also reversing the election changes that occurred in 2020. The 2020 election resulted in seventeen million fraudulent votes through a combination of institutionalized and now permanent vote-by-mail fraud (the Democrat operative Marc Elias installed a Democrat “tsar” at the post office to oversee the votes), ballot harvesting, ballot stuffing and Dominion electronic voting fraud (where they sued those who complained about it into silence). The 2020 fraud was blatant:

    Trump was allowed to win this time based on whatever backroom deal was worked out among the elites, perhaps as a response to the disastrous 10/7 false flag7 and to support whatever higher-level plans they have for him and his administration. Allowed is the key word because none of these voting issues have been fixed, therefore the only way he could have won is if our elites wanted him to. If one is to have any faith in elections moving forward then this needs to be reversed:

    Without such changes our international elites will continue to be able to determine the outcome of every election moving forward, in line with my prior post about how we are now in an era of elite’s deciding – no longer just influencing – “elections”.

    3. The national debt

    The third core structural issue is the national debt. We currently have a $35 trillion national debt and a $2 trillion dollar a year deficit, which is catastrophic. In fiscal year 2023 the US federal government collected nearly $4.5 trillion in revenue. However, it spent almost $6.2 trillion.

    Interest payments on federal government debt are projected to reach $892 billion in 2024. This is more than the government is projected to spend on defense and almost a third higher than what the United States spent on debt interest payments in 2023. Within ten years interest paid on debt will be greater than total non-discretionary spending according to the CBOHere one can see interest payments on the federal debt as a percentage of government spending.

    Here is the breakdown of what is owed to who as of 2022:

    Note that the privately owned Federal Reserve owns a whopping 34% of domestically held debt. The Rothschilds are pigging out:

    Here and below are the countries with the greatest debt-to-GDP ratio on the planet. Note that the U.S. is behind only Japan, Lebanon, Singapore, Sudan and Greece, and just ahead of Italy, all countries with disastrous finances:

    Also see here which puts the U.S. Debt-to-GDP ratio at 129%. Debt-to-GDP ratios above 77% can hinder economic growth and (in some cases) place a country at risk of defaulting on its debts, which could wreak havoc on its economy and financial markets. For every percentage point of debt that exceeds the 77% tipping point, the annual real GDP growth rate of a developed economy will be reduced by .017 percentage points for each 1% the debt-to-GDP ratio exceeds the tipping point.

    Here is the U.S. Debt-to-GDP ratio between 1971-2022:

    And here it is historically through 2010; note the peak was 120% in World War 2:

    The Debt-to-GDP ratio in the U.S., then, is higher than it was during World War 2. Here’s where the Treasury projects it going into the future (lol):

    Let’s put the picture together. The amount of U.S. governmental debt and the deficit is astronomically high. Unlike in 1980 when Paul Volcker crushed inflation by spiking interest rates massively (US inflation peaked at 14.8% in March 1980 and fell to below 3% by 1983 by raising interest rates to 20%), the U.S.’s debt is far too high to curb inflation in a similar way. If the Federal Reserve raises rates to combat inflation — which is currently around 20% when looking at the cost of normal living such as food, housing, health care, insurance, etc.; the official stats are fake — then the U.S. economy will be crushed. Yet if the Federal Reserve lowers rates to help the economy, then inflation will spike even higher. It is stuck and they have no way out. They will have to keep printing indefinitely in order to prop up the stock market and fund the deficit, and as they print the Debt-to-GDP ratio will continue to rise and inflation will continue to get worse. This is why from the debt perspective it doesn’t/didn’t matter if Kamala or Trump won – the Federal Reserve is stuck and high inflation is here to stay (unless rates are increased which would cause a market crash).

    Recently Jamie Dimon, the head of JP Morgan Chase, agreed:

    Speaking on a panel alongside former Speaker of the House Paul Ryan at the Bipartisan Policy Center last week, Dimon said the American government is facing a “hockey stick” effect when it comes to government debt.

    He drew on the comparison of the 1980s for context, explaining that in 1982 unemployment was at around 10% while the stock market had sat stagnant for 15 to 20 years. Even with the Vietnam War, America’s debt-to-GDP ratio was around 35%, Dimon said, whereas today it sits at 100%.

    “Back then the deficit during a recession—you do spend money in a recession—was 4% or 5%; today it’s 6.5% in a boom time,” Dimon continued.

    He added: “If you look at that 100% debt to GDP by [2035] I think it’s going to be 130%, and it’s a hockey stick. That hockey stick doesn’t start yet but when it starts, markets around the world…there will be a rebellion.”

    Dimon’s hockey stick scenario could occur as the American government faces higher charges to service increasing levels of debt, potentially in an economy that many are predicting will enter a slow or no-growth era.

    This isn’t just bad news for the home of the brave. America’s ability to pay its debts is a concern for the nations around the world that own a $7.6 trillion chunk of the funds. The nations most exposed are Japan, which owned $1.1 trillion as of November 2023, China ($782 billion), the U.K. ($716 billion), Luxembourg ($371 billion), and Canada ($321 billion).

    Charging headfirst into a global fistfight with domestic and international markets is the “worst possible way to do it,” Dimon added, saying: “It is a cliff. We see the cliff. It’s about 10 years out.”

    Ryan chimed in that the debt spiral is the “most predictable crisis we’ve ever had,” with Dimon agreeing.

    So what can Trump do to stave off this crisis? He could either attempt to raise taxes, which he and other Republicans are against; he actually wants to lower taxes. But even raising taxes substantially would only put a moderate dent in the deficit, which would still continue to get worse. Apparently Trump wants to increase tariffs massively from China and elsewhere; I’ll believe it when I see it (in his first term neither China trade reforms nor NAFTA reforms moved the needle at all despite the hype). Alternatively, he could cut spending. Here is how U.S. Federal spending looks:

    Any politician that attempts to substantially cut entitlements to the public will not be re-elected and is in danger of public unrest or worse; raising entitlement ages even a year or couple years, a drop in the bucket, would be extremely unpopular. He could try to cut national defense ($821 billion) but would likely be assassinated if he tried, and if it was massively cut the U.S. would lose reserve currency status (it is America’s military might that keeps the reserve currency). Reforming Obamacare didn’t work and it was a weak reform attempt during Trump’s first term anyway. What would he cut then? Very little of the spending is discretionary. He could and should massively cut unelected civil service jobs, who are the enemy of regular Americans and a major negative value-add, but that still doesn’t move the needle much and that would also spark unrest.

    So there you have it: the three structural issues facing Trump are massive amounts of Democrat-leaning non-white illegal immigrants and their children, institutionalized vote fraud, along with an extraordinary amount of national debt that can’t be fixed without radical entitlement reform that would get Trump kicked out of office, impeached or murdered. Liberals are already being primed by their hive-mind, pre-inauguration, only a couple days after the election, to hysterically resist without any action having been taken at all.

    With that said, this is ultimately bigger than Democrat or Republican; it is the nature of democracy itself – it eats itself:

    People want to enjoy comfort and consumption in the moment even if that means their children and grandchildren have to pay the bill, and they will always vote on this basis. That’s human psychology, we see it throughout civilizations and history, and unfortunately for us we are the ones on the receiving end of the mass inflation and devastation caused by earlier eras of consumption. Trump is stuck and he’s not fixing this unless he leads a revolution, not a reform – to nationalize the Rothschild-owned Federal Reserve and issue a debt jubilee, perhaps. But Trump has the mind of a wheeling-dealing merchant, not a Caesar crossing the Rubicon, and he will not do this (and if he tried he would, like so many that tried before to exit the central bank parasitical system, be destroyed). Rather, he will keep spending as inflation continues apace until the next financial crisis.


    Summing it up

    Being in pain – emotional, spiritual, physical pain – is the driver for change. The longer and deeper it hurts, the more change one is willing to accept. The right watched a weak 2016-2020 Trump administration followed by four years of Biden Hell which caused a degree of introspection and soul searching, but, in my opinion, not enough. The structural issues of immigration and the national debt cannot be solved without revolutionary action, which as Curtis Yarvin correctly states Trump does not have a mandate for from his voters. Therefore his second term will be a failure. I listed above things that would have to happen policy wise for a long-term reassessment of this prediction.

    Now, my blackpilled doomerism was listened to politely by some during the past four years. It will be less popular under a Trump presidency as I hold his feet to the proverbial fire; I care about a politician and his administration only to the extent they properly effectuate the policies I care about. Instead of just dealing with blackpilled despondency and lame, false hopium from the right as seen under the Biden years, we will now have to deal with Q-tard delusional optimism and Trump personality cultists again in the consolidation phase of the egalitarian ratchet effect. In some ways this will be worse than hearing the endless shrieking shitlibs. Rurik Skylwaker agrees in a Notes comment here. And as Graham R. Knotsea states, “The most difficult thing about another Trump presidency is going to be, once again, his fanatical supporters attacking everyone who tries to hold him to his campaign promises. They get just as hysterical as the liberals they make fun of. It’s gonna be rough.” Having one’s “side” be in power reduces one’s ability to introspect and analyze properly; a scanner darkly. Thankfully in some respects the past eight years have clarified for me how things actually work.

    Some predictions can take years to play out, not days or weeks or months. The right is myopic and loves short term predictions and claiming they are wrong if they don’t happen immediately. Ernst Junger doubted his prediction that Germany would lose in an adventure in the East for a couple of years after making his prediction in 1939; it took years for him to be proven correct. This prediction of Trump presidency failure is a four year prediction and I believe it will result in (1) continued sustained high inflation from ever-increasing national debt (and an inability/unwillingness to abolish the Federal Reserve and issue a debt jubliee), (2) inability/unwillingness to expel tens of millions of newly arrived illegals, (3) inability/unwillingness to reform compromised election laws, and (4) either war with Iran, Civil War, a massive stock market crash and/or World War 3. I hope I’m wrong and that more positive things are ahead. Let’s see what happens.

    Thanks for reading.

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    1 Right before the 2024 election there was a Freedom of Information Act release of a secret Obama call to sympathetic liberal media three days before Trump’s 2017 inauguration; the release was stonewalled until now. In it Obama said: “On balance, that leads to me to say I think that four years is okay. Take on some water, but we can kind of bail fast enough to be okay. Eight years would be a problem. I would be concerned about a sustained period in which some of these norms have broken down and started to corrode.” It was this attitude that permeated the unelected civil service and resulted in massive, unprecedented efforts to steal the 2020 election. After the steal, these globohomo cretins bragged about it in a Time magazine article where they smugly stated: “They were not rigging the election; they were fortifying it.”

    2 As discussed previously, I think crypto is a scam controlled by the CIA/NSA via Tether for multiple purposes.

    3 There are certain times which serve as clarifying when one seeks to introspect into one’s own and other’s souls. The response to fraudvirus (“COVID”) was one of those times; I saw things from people I never would have expected otherwise. But an act of election winning serves a similar function from the other side; who is able to keep their wits about them, their reason in check, and not get carried way in the moment? Who can remain level-headed? I may not be doing any call-outs (what’s the point of drama?) but I’m always watching, always observing – mostly in disappointment.

    4 Things often become the opposite of what they purport to be: see right wingers like Begin and Sharon who withdrew land for peace, see Charles de Gaulle who betrayed the French Algerians after promising to protect them, see Deng Xaioping who was a committed communist who turned capitalist.

    5 There is something occult about the power of harnessing people’s attention. If the system was not able to harness that attention in ways they wanted, they would lose control. They must keep you entertained and engaged in the process so that they can stay in power. To the question of whether the system is top-down or bottom-up, the answer is that it is both; the top-down rulers try out narratives and they run with ones that effectuate buy-in from the public. This is not properly understood by most. See here for more.

    6 And according to Craig Nelsen, the Hispanics being imported were the most vulnerable and easily manipulable ones that could be found: “The NGO programs being funded here are programs set up in Colombia to transfer Venezuelan “refugees” from Colombia to the United States with special emphasis on “children, particularly unaccompanied and separated children and adolescents; lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, queer, or intersex (LGBTQI+) individuals; older persons; the sick; persons with disabilities; indigenous persons; and survivors, or those at risk, of gender-based violence” as well as “members of minority communities.”

    7 There was a noticeable shift in favor of Trump after the world reacted so negatively to Israel in the aftermath of 10/7 (although one may note that U.S. Jews still voted 79% for Kamala). The youth were decidedly pro-Palestinian throughout the West including in top-level universities. Our elites likely wanted to use 10/7 as a Holocaust 2.0 which would provide lots of sympathy and carte blanche to do whatever they wanted, even though it is extremely doubtful that Israel did not at a very minimum have knowledge of the attack ahead of time and let it happen to provide the justification for leveling Gaza. It is simply not believable that many frontline soldiers reported Hamas activity and Israel’s extremely detailed knowledge of its neighbors – to the point of planting explosive devices among hundreds of Hezbollah operatives and having pinpoint information to target the top twenty Hezbollah leaders one after the other. Our elites were likely shocked to learn that their non-white golems throughout the West that were being used to undermine and destroy whites were turning on them, necessitating a major change in strategy, as James J. O’Meara explains here and as explained here.

  • Pre-election framing: The fifth legal regime

    This post argues that America transitioned in a fundamental and negative way in 2020 into a new legal regime and there is no going back from it regardless of who wins this election.

    This will be an election post, but not in the way one might expect.

    Good Citizen had a nice post recently about how controlled Trump will be if he wins this upcoming election. I was displeased to see in that post, although not unexpected, that the wretched cretin Jared Kushner is back choosing Trump’s personnel.1 I had concluded my three-part exploration of the Trump presidency with a similar argument, stating

    There are also a number of signs that the establishment may allow Trump to win in 2024 and govern as a sick facsimile of himself, a kind of skin-suited Jeb Bush type, or to crash the economy around him and blame him and populism for the failure of the existing system…

    In this manner the establishment is back to its usual pattern of playing both sides so they win regardless of whatever the population chooses. They seem to no longer see Trump as much of a threat, if any; he has been absorbed. Can you see Trump evicting even a significant portion of the twenty million illegals that Biden’s administration has let in over the past four years? I think the answer is a clear no.

    The Trump phenomenon showed that the support for civic nationalism and populism is broad-based but also shallow: the American population is fat, lazy, entitled, and completely addicted to its creature comforts. The four years of the establishment illegally stymying Trump, the false COVID narrative and the stolen 2020 election showed that the vast majority of people will put up with whatever the establishment decides.

    To understand how Trump or Kamala will govern, regardless of who wins (and I am unwilling to make a firm prediction, explained here), it is necessary to step back and ask a broader question: is America the same country that it was in 1776? We have the same Constitution after all, we contain the same initial geography within the final borders of what became modern America, we have the same separation of powers between the judicial, executive and legislative branches. We still honor the founders to an extent and teach early American history and remain inspired by stories fighting against Britain, ending slavery, and expanding rights and freedoms to under-represented groups. I posed this question to Grant Smith previously, a great guy who has a lovely and perhaps quaint respect and awe for our Constitution.2

    This post will argue that no, America is not the same country it was in 1776. There were certain inflection points where it became an entirely different country, with different foundation myths, different values and different objectives; the form of the older government remained, but it was reinterpreted in entirely different ways. The argument will be touched upon that 2020 was another such inflection point switching legal regimes, although it will take historical distance to see it.

    First, why cover this, just to emphasize gloom and doom in a new way? The intent is so you can better prepare for a much harder life under neo-feudalism as it continues to develop, to assume a long-term defensive posture as covered previously here and here, and to prepare on a spiritual level to oppose it.

    Curtis Yarvin touched on the general concept of nations radically transforming but keeping their old forms in one of his posts from 2007, where he stated:

    By my count, Anglophone North America ex Canada is on its fifth legal regime. The First Republic was the Congressional regime, which illegally abolished the British colonial governments. The Second Republic was the Constitutional regime, which illegally abolished the Articles of Confederation. The Third Republic was the Unionist regime, which illegally abolished the principle of federalism. The Fourth Republic is the New Deal regime, which illegally abolished the principle of limited government. [NLF: He doesn’t state what or where his fifth legal regime started.]

    Of course, all these coups are confirmed by the principle of adverse possession. Otherwise we would find ourselves looking for the rightful heirs of Metacom, or Edward the Confessor, or whoever. Nor is there any automatic reason to treat any of these five regimes as better or worse than any of the others. If, like me, you’re tired of the Fourth Republic and would like to see it abolished, all we know about its successor is that it will be the Fifth Republic. It has no need to resemble the Third, the Second or the First.

    The real legal nature of the Fourth Republic is that, like the UK, it has no constitution. Its legitimacy is defined by a set of precedents written by New Deal judges in the 1930s. These have obscure names like Footnote FourWest Coast Hotel, and Wickard v. Filburn.

    I agree with Yarvin’s general thrust, although I will quibble with some of the time periods in my argument below. Just like when Rome transitioned from republic to empire under Julius Caesar and Augustus but kept the basic republican forms, titles and symbols, just like it kept it’s hollowed-out institutions such as a powerless Senate to increase societal stability and fool the masses, America, too, keeps its old forms even though the nature of power fundamentally shifts. These inflections points signal not just changes in power but they formalize certain social, economic, cultural and historical trends that were already gaining in strength as it approached the epoch. The shifts between eras may not be properly understood in the moment and may only become clear on a historical basis.

    The inflection points I see are as follows:

    1. The First Era of States Rights (1776-1865): Weak federal government, strong states rights on the basis of settling a brand new, mostly uninhabited and resource rich continent. One may note that this era would likely have ended earlier if the Second Bank of the United States had not been abolished by Andrew Jackson in 1836. It’s original foundation myth3 was healthy and positive: settlers founding a new and just land. Ultimate good was centered around freedom and the ability to pursue happiness and the sacred was encapsulated by family, community, country, God.
    2. The Second Era of Federal Government (1865-1913): The victory by the North enshrined that the federal government superseded states rights, which was not a settled matter beforehand. America’s foundation myth shifts to justify the North’s aggression in the Civil War: ultimate evil in the form of slavery becomes central to this narrative.
    3. The Third Era of the Unelected Civil Service (1913-1965): The establishment of the Rothschild-owned Federal Reserve in 1913 (along with the 16th Amendment authorizing personal income taxes, the IRS and the Anti-Defamation League in the same year) followed by FDR’s New Deal (1933-1938) which created an unfireable unelected civil service and massive social welfare programs, while cutting back the power of the Supreme Court with the switch in time that saved nine. The United States becoming a worldwide hegemony in 1945 was a result of this setup. This era gave rise to what Ernst Junger referred to as the Worker, who subsumed himself on behalf of the collective as part of total mobilization: “Each individual life becomes, ever more unambiguously, the life of a worker” so that “following the wars of knights, kings, and citizens, we now have wars of workers.”
    4. The Fourth Era of White Erasure (1965-2020): The 1965 Civil Rights Act and the Immigration and Nationality Act set in motion what became unlimited non-white immigration and increasing anti-white discrimination where the white percentage of the U.S. population dropped from 90% to 60% within fifty years. Christopher Caldwell wrote about this in his The Age of Entitlement: America Since the Sixties, where he stated: “Just half a decade into the civil rights revolution, America had something it had never had at the federal level, something the overwhelming majority of its citizens would never have approved: an explicit system of racial preference. Plainly the civil rights acts had wrought a change in the country’s constitutional culture.” Caldwell writes that the Civil Rights Act 1964 was “not just a major new element in the Constitution,” but “a rival constitution, with which the original one was frequently incompatible.” The figure of the Worker was defeated by the bourgeois, whose technological managerialism enmeshed capital and placed security among the highest of values, conducting his life accordingly. This era included radical individualism, free-market fundamentalism, unfettered globalization, and the resulting decay of social norms and civil society institutions. This era corresponded with the rise of what Cesar Tort called a new national foundation myth centered around white blood guilt for the Holocaust, Hitler as the Devil and all whites worldwide as intrinsically and irreparably evil. As he explains:

    For the modern West, from Australia to the US and back to the Old Continent, at least the countries that were not subsumed by the Soviet Union, the narrative of the Second World War has become our new foundation myth….

    You learn from a very early young age that the ultimate incarnation of pure evil were the Nazis and thus those that oppose Nazis are the ultimate good. From this stance of ultimate good Western civilisation drives its core values of anti-nationalism; unity being a weakness and diversity being a strength. All measure of civilisational confidence is bigotry. Any questioning with regards to the differences in people, cultures and their compatibility is taboo….

    And it is here when we begin to understand the West’s self-loathing, and what really is a sincere desire for collective, cultural, physical and psychological suicide—because all three functions of our post-war foundation myth [see footnote 1] are negative in the extreme. Instead of the origin being of strength fertility and of a new and blossoming beginning, it is one of violence, death and destruction. Instead of ultimate good taking the central position in the story, it is in fact occupied by ultimate evil….

    The entire West is not only losing their local but also its civilisational identity, and has been changed to this World War II foundation myth, which has born the West its new corrosive, self-hating and malignant identity—and will if not, as did previously, utterly destroy it.

    1. The Fifth Era of Tyrannical Hard Power likely began in 2020, a narrative I explored in my 3-part series on the Trump campaign and history, although it will take historical distance to confirm it. If true, this era will last at minimum for multiple decades, and possibly last far beyond that. The Fifth Era is defined by the end of so-called “democracy” — in other words, elections will continue but be simply rigged (as opposed to heavily managed and influenced in prior eras), which the regime will deny using its propaganda organs and “experts” — and a transition from a soft power propaganda model to a hard power boots-on-the-face model as people’s quality of life dramatically decreases. This shift became necessary as the internet was increasingly bypassing globohomo’s narrative control. It was formalized via the legalization during COVID of permanent vote-by-mail4 and ballot harvesting and a casual legal disregard for societal norms, completing the process of what globohomo accomplished in California, i.e. turning it into a one-party state. This was a top-down imposed revolution which their controlled media is intentionally being quiet about. This era will be neo-feudal, with ever-widening and extreme disparities between the ultra-rich and poor, enormous inflation (started with the $11 trillion printed under Trump during COVID), the end of the middle class, little social mobility, completely open borders, a woke AI scanning everyone’s computer, phone and internet activity (i.e. no privacy) and assigning everyone social credit scores ala the digital panopticon, and the managerial class going buckwild as the parasite kills the majority host. Unlike earlier eras where the masses were looked upon first as industrial workers and then used within a service economy, serving as tax cattle for the elites, this era will look upon the masses as simply zero-value burdens who should simply be used for mass genetic testing (like via the ultra-dangerous mRNA “vaccines”) or be phased out of existence entirely one way or another through war and poverty. Due to technology changes they are seen as what homosexual Jewish atheist Yuval Harari called “useless people”, who if they are “lucky” they will get to live on subsistence government-offered UBI. This era is going to be an ever-decreasing quality of life, but the silver lining is it may ultimately lead – after extreme pain and suffering – to a newfound religious and spiritual sensibility that doesn’t exist when economic times are strong.

    Expectations for a second Trump term

    As a result of being in the fifth legal regime, and putting aside how horrible the 90 IQ hooker’s reign would be if she wins, if Trump does win I also expect his presidency to be underwhelming: there will be little pushback on the 20 million illegals let in within the past four years alone, there will be no substantial positive changes to the $2 trillion dollar deficit or $35 trillion dollar national debt, and persistently high inflation is here to stay permanently as neoliberal feudalism continues to set in. Additionally, Trump’s presidency will be used to de-fang right-wing support much as he did during his disastrous COVID response.5 It may not manifest in a day, a month, or a year; COVID happened in his fourth year as president, so setting proper timing expectations is important not to get sucked up in momentary excitement. He will either lead the country to war in Iran (where globohomo is slowly trying to back off DEI in order to get white men to go die for it), preside over civil war, and/or he will preside over the collapse of our sovereign debt bubble, previously discussed here in the context of Japan, where our upper-tier overlords both initiated the bubble as well as it’s future “popping” in order to create enough panic to drive this country and the world into upcoming CBDC techno-tyranny. His toothless response will allow globohomo to blame Trump and nationalism for the situation they themselves caused, following a long successful line of blaming-the-victim including as seen in World War 2. Dr Mathew Maavak concurs that a Trump victory would be used to ultimately smear him as globohomo’s fall guy. James J. O’Meara believes that our overlords intend this setup to eventually lead to the coronation of Greater Israel as the seat of world power, something I pondered in a separate capacity. At the very least Trump’s presidency will be used to consolidate the rapid and radical changes that have taken place over the past four years, reflecting the historical trend of Democrat radicalism followed by Republican consolidation of those liberal gains.

    Whatever happens, the fifth era of tyrannical hard power is going to crystalize and more fully manifest.

    Okay, well, what about voting then? It’s a binary choice and if Trump doesn’t win then Kamala will (due to extreme voting fraud; Trump will definitely win real votes in a landslide) where she will let in yet another 20 million illegals in the next four years and continue the radical transformation of the country. If one doesn’t vote for him is that just a tacit vote for her, a 90 IQ anti-white hooker? I suppose one may retain hope that Trump would be better than Kamala in this intra-elite competition, although I have my doubts. I think he would try not to let in another 20 million illegals who were let in under Biden, maybe (maybe Trump will just allow in 5-10 million but legally!), he might be important for Supreme Court picks (although two of his three prior picks turned out to be left-leaning duds), Grant Smith thinks he would be positive for the military, and globohomo did try to assassinate him twice – but the structural problems are so deep and metastasized (i.e. white erasure, $2+ trillion deficits, $35 trillion national debt) that radically negative change is coming and it can’t be stopped at this pointThe fifth legal regime is upon us and will only manifest further. Hence globohomo’s hysteria at Trump’s win in 2016; that was the Flight 93 election, the last chance to right the ship, but we crashed. Our upper elites are poised to benefit regardless of whoever is allowed to win this fake election, and everyone else will lose…if the election is even allowed to happen. Coinciding with the election is a large scale cybersecurity exercise on November 5:

    As Texas Arcane states, “The ‘drills’ always convert one hour after starting into the real thing.” Converting a large scale exercise into a real event is the same tactic used with COVID via Event 201, with the strategy prepared by the Rockefeller Foundation in 2010, and also what happened during 9/11. Cyber Polygon, a false flag cyber attack which would be used to blame Iran or Russia has also been in the works for many years. Perhaps the Israeli attack on Iran will be the precipitating event.

    The ancient Chinese curse of “May you live in interesting times” is here. Regardless of the route it now takes, though, from a material and freedom perspective we are past the point of no return (even if the Federal Reserve continues to hypnotize you by printing infinite loldollars and shoving it into the stock market). Things are going to get much worse in this fifth legal regime, so prepare yourself as best you can.

    Thanks for reading.

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    1 From Citizen’s post:

    2 I say this partially in jest: despite the Constitution’s major shortcomings as will be discussed below, the First and Second Amendments have created major stumbling block’s in how globohomo treats Americans compared to the rest of the world. It generally has to tread lighter here, and it’s extremely malicious actions are done more indirectly and circuitously.

    3 From Cesar Tort, who is quite unhinged but has a good explanation of this principle here: “What is a foundation myth and what functions does it provides a society? Well, first it comports and provides an origin, framework and superstructure for society and how it interacts with the world and itself. Second, it defines what is the ultimate good and conversely, ultimate evil for the reasons of defining values and from those to justify who holds power. And third it determines and defines what is held sacred in a society.”

    4 The country allowed vote-by-mail prior to 2020 but limited mostly to absentee ballots from overseas military members. See here for more context.

    5 The way it works is that a substantial percent of a group’s supporters will go along with an action which, if the other side had been the one pushing that action they would have resisted it. During COVID more than half of Trump’s supporters initially went along with the lockdowns where many would have resisted under a Democrat president. Another example that come to mind is Charles de Gaulle’s betrayal of the pied-noirs in Algeria despite running on a platform of the opposite.